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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of epidemiology / >Trends in Life Expectancy With Care Needs Based on Long-term Care Insurance Data in Japan
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Trends in Life Expectancy With Care Needs Based on Long-term Care Insurance Data in Japan

机译：基于日本长期护理保险数据的有护理需求的预期寿命趋势

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Background: Using a previously developed method for calculating expected years of life with care needs based on data from the Japanese long-term care insurance system, we examined recent trends in expected years of life with care needs by age group and prefecture. Methods: Information on care needs was available from the long-term care insurance system of Japan. Expected years of life with care needs by age group and prefecture in 2005–2009 were calculated. Results: Expected years of life with care needs at age 65 increased from 1.43 years in 2005 to 1.62 years in 2009 for men, and from 2.99 to 3.44 years for women. As a proportion of total life expectancy, these values show an increase from 7.9% to 8.6% in men and from 12.9% to 14.4% in women. Expected years with care needs did not increase in the age groups of 65 to 69 and 70 to 74 years but markedly increased in the age group of 85 years or older. Expected years with care needs increased in every prefecture during the period studied. The difference in 2005 between the 25th and 75th percentiles in prefectural distributions was 0.16 years for men and 0.35 years for women. The difference remained nearly constant between 2005 and 2009. Conclusions: Expected number of years of life with care needs increased among Japanese from 2005 to 2009, and there was a wide range in distribution among prefectures. Further studies on coverage of care needs under the long-term insurance program are necessary.
机译：背景：我们根据日本长期护理保险系统的数据，使用先前开发的方法来计算有护理需求的预期寿命，我们按年龄组和县调查了有护理需求的预期寿命的最新趋势。方法：有关护理需求的信息可从日本的长期护理保险系统获得。计算了2005-2009年按年龄组和县划分的有护理需求的预期寿命。结果：男性65岁的预期有护理需求寿命从2005年的1.43岁增加到2009年的1.62岁，女性从2.99岁增加到3.44岁。作为总预期寿命的一部分，这些值在男性中从7.9％增加到8.6％，在女性中从12.9％增加到14.4％。 65至69岁和70至74岁年龄组的预期需要护理年数并未增加，但85岁或以上年龄组的预期需要年数却明显增加。在研究期间，每个州的预期护理年数都在增加。 2005年，县级分布的第25个百分位数与第75个百分位数之间的差异为男性为0.16岁，女性为0.35岁。在2005年至2009年之间，这一差异几乎保持不变。结论：从2005年至2009年，日本人在有护理需求的预期年数有所增加，并且各县之间的分布范围很广。有必要对长期保险计划下的护理需求范围进行进一步研究。

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