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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development >The Empirical Investigation of Fertility Transition in Pakistan: Assessing the Role of Education, Family Planning and Women Empowerment (Using ARDL Approach)
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The Empirical Investigation of Fertility Transition in Pakistan: Assessing the Role of Education, Family Planning and Women Empowerment (Using ARDL Approach)

机译:巴基斯坦生育转型的实证研究:评估教育,计划生育和增强妇女权能的作用(使用ARDL方法)

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The purpose of this paper is to assess the role of education, family planning and women empowerment to determine their effects on total fertility rate in case of Pakistan because total fertility rate is higher as compare with other developing countries and the declining trend is slow despite of taking many steps by the government. This study based on the empirical examination to observe the relationship among concern variables. The data of concern variables have been taken from statistical year book of Pakistan and federal bureau of statistics of Pakistan, time span from 1975 to 2013. Autoregressive and distributive lag model (ARDL) is applied to extract the relationship among variables (total fertility rate, child mortality rate, female labor force participation, real growth rate, female secondary ratio and contraceptive prevalence). Results of the study confirm the long run and short run association among variables. Error correction model identify that the speed of adjustment is moderate to attain the equilibrium condition.
机译:本文的目的是评估教育,计划生育和增强妇女权能的作用,以确定其对巴基斯坦总生育率的影响,因为与其他发展中国家相比,总生育率更高,而且尽管政府采取了许多步骤。本研究在实证检验的基础上,观察关注变量之间的关系。关注变量的数据取自巴基斯坦统计年鉴和巴基斯坦联邦统计局,时间跨度为1975年至2013年。应用自回归和分布滞后模型(ARDL)提取变量之间的关系(总生育率,儿童死亡率,女性劳动力参与率,实际增长率,女性中学比率和避孕普及率)。研究结果证实了变量之间的长期和短期关联。误差校正模型确定调整速度适中以达到平衡条件。

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