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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection >Study on Forecasting Method of Forest Fire Risk Grade in Putian City, China
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Study on Forecasting Method of Forest Fire Risk Grade in Putian City, China

机译：Put田市森林火灾风险等级预测方法研究

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摘要

From January 1, 2014, the basic stations of meteorological observation countries have changed from small evaporation observations to large-scale evaporation observations. National general weather stations have cancel e d observations on evaporation, but small evaporation is very important for forest fire risk prediction. In order to make the prediction of forest fire risk level objectively, weather data in Putian City, China and the multi-linear regression analysis method is used to calculate the daily evaporation amount in the more advanced SPSS16.0 software (English version), and the data of the last 5 years of each site are selected and fitted. Results showed that we accurately calculated the evaporation of the next day to make up for the lack of data due to the adjustment of the evaporation observation project. According to the forest fire risk weather index corresponding to many meteorological factors such as evaporation, temperature, humidity, sunshine and wind speed, the forest fire risk meteorological grade standard was designed to make a more accurate forest fire risk grade forecast.
机译：自2014年1月1日起，气象观测国家/地区的基本站已从小蒸发观测改为大蒸发观测。全国通用气象站已经取消了有关蒸发的观测，但是少量蒸发对于森林火灾风险的预测非常重要。为了客观地预测森林火灾风险等级，在更先进的SPSS16.0软件（英文版）中，使用了中国Put田市的气象数据和多元线性回归分析方法来计算日蒸发量，并且选择并拟合每个站点最近5年的数据。结果表明，我们准确计算了第二天的蒸发量，以弥补由于蒸发观测项目的调整而导致的数据不足。根据与蒸发，温度，湿度，日照，风速等多种气象因素相对应的森林火灾风险气象指数，设计了森林火灾风险气象等级标准，对森林火灾风险等级进行了较为准确的预测。

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