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Analysis of Influencing Factors of RMB Exchange Rate Trend Based on Least Square Method

机译:基于最小二乘法的人民币汇率趋势影响因素分析

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The exchange rate is the currency ratio between countries, which determines what standard is equitable for the distribution of the benefits of economic transactions between countries. There are many factors affecting the change of RMB exchange rate, such as inflation rate differential, commodity price, economic growth rate differential, foreign exchange reserve and international balance of payments. In this paper, the least square method is used to analyze the exchange rate's influencing factors. The results show that the balance of payments, commodity prices and the dollar against the RMB exchange rate has a negative correlation. Inflation, gross domestic product, foreign exchange reserves and the dollar against the RMB Exchange rate has a positive correlation.
机译:汇率是国家之间的货币比率,它决定了什么标准才可以公平地分配国家之间经济交易的收益。影响人民币汇率变动的因素有很多,例如通货膨胀率差异,商品价格,经济增长率差异,外汇储备和国际收支。本文采用最小二乘方法分析汇率的影响因素。结果表明,国际收支,商品价格和美元对人民币汇率呈负相关。通货膨胀,国内生产总值,外汇储备和美元兑人民币汇率呈正相关。

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