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Review of Relief Demand Forecasting Problem in Emergency Logistic System

机译:应急物流系统的救济需求预测问题综述

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Demand forecasting on relief is the premise and basis of material allocation scheme in emergency logistic system. Reasonable demand forecasting method can facilitate relief distribution, thus avoiding the phenomenon that supply-demand imbalance and relief distribution delay. In this paper, relief will be categorized from point view of government and academia, to explain the relationship between relief categorization and demand forecasting. Then introduce the characteristics of relief-demand from several aspects, such as sudden, uncertainty, timeliness, and stage. Finally, this paper gives an overall conclusion on current development of relief demand forecasting method. And elaborate the application of case-based reasoning, information entropy theory, considering safety stock in the field of relief-demand forecasting in detail, to provide reference for relief distribution.
机译:应急需求预测是应急物流系统物资分配方案的前提和基础。合理的需求预测方法可以方便地进行救济分配,避免了供需不平衡和救济分配延迟的现象。本文将从政府和学术界的角度对救灾进行分类,以解释救灾分类与需求预测之间的关系。然后从突发性,不确定性,及时性和阶段性等几个方面介绍救济需求的特征。最后,本文对救济需求预测方法的最新发展给出了总体结论。并详细阐述了基于案例的推理,信息熵理论的应用,详细考虑了安全库存在救灾需求预测领域的应用,为救灾分配工作提供参考。

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