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Liner shipping connectivity as determinant of trade

机译：班轮运输的连通性是贸易的决定因素

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Transport connectivity is a crucial determinant of bilateral exports. This paper presents an empirical assessment of the relationship between bilateral maritime liner shipping connectivity and exports in containerizable goods during the period 2006–2013. Making use of probed “gravity” type trade models, the paper incorporates new data on different measurements of maritime distance, as well as a unique new dataset and new bilateral connectivity indices developed by UNCTAD. The empirical investigations unequivocally show that lacking a direct maritime connection with a trade partner is associated with lower values of exports; any additional transshipment is associated with a 40% lower value of bilateral exports. Other indicators of liner shipping connectivity incorporated in the research take into consideration levels of competition and container vessel sizes. Results also indicate that the quality of bilateral connectivity as measured by several composite indices is a crucial determinant of bilateral exports. All empirical results suggest that in the absence of a bilateral connectivity indicator the impact of distance on bilateral exports in classical gravity models is likely to be overestimated.
机译：运输连接是双边出口的关键决定因素。本文对2006-2013年间双边海上班轮运输连通性与可集装箱化货物出口之间的关系进行了实证评估。本文利用探测到的“重力”式贸易模型，结合了有关海上距离测量的新数据，以及贸发会议开发的独特的新数据集和新的双边连通性指数。实证研究明确表明，缺乏与贸易伙伴的直接海上联系与较低的出口价值有关。任何额外的转运都会使双边出口额降低40％。研究中纳入的其他班轮运输连通性指标考虑了竞争水平和集装箱船尺寸。结果还表明，由几个综合指数衡量的双边连接质量是双边出口的关键决定因素。所有的经验结果表明，在没有双边连通性指标的情况下，经典重力模型中距离对双边出口的影响可能被高估了。

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