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Foresight Development Strategy of the Financial Capacity: Comparative Study of the Ukrainian Agricultural Sector

机译:财务能力远见发展战略:乌克兰农业部门的比较研究

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The system of foresight methods is most often used to solve research problems that are distinguished from the continuity of historical chronology. The aim of our study is to search for new approaches to measuring, assessing and forecasting the economic and financial potential of the agricultural sector, in order to develop an adequate public administration strategy. We have set the task to answer what effect this trend will have for the agricultural sector and the economy of Ukraine in the coming years. We used normative-system analysis - an approach that allows to identify measures that stimulate or limit the implementation of a particular scenario for a particular research subject. This method is aimed at formulating policies and foresight strategies, which are implemented by calculating the financial potential of the agricultural industry. The basis of the research was the hypothesis that the financial potential of the macro level should be analyzed according to the current foresight strategy method, which involves (i) identifying the object of forecasting (agrarian sector), (ii) determining the essential conditions (targets that the financial potential for sustainable development should correspond to), (iii) scanning the environment (what resources and types of potential are related to financial), and (v) identifying alternatives and possible future scenarios (building a balance sheet of financial resources). The results of the statistical analysis suggested that the main determinants of the financial potential are: the volumes, structure, and proportions of reproduction. Furthermore, the efficiency and strength of financial potential are compared with the main macroeconomic indicators of rural development. The results revealed that the necessity of state regulation of financial flows connected with the agrarian sector is substantiated by monitoring the process of forming financial flows in a number of key parameters with the aim of observing the equivalence of all management forms to financial resources. This research contributes to the previous literature on Ukraine context, where we proposed ways to improve the quality of financial potential, the conditions for its formation and distribution and redistribution in accordance with the National Concept for the Development of the Agrarian Sector (2015). Additionally, this research will pave the way for the adaptation of foreign experience, including international comparisons of financial flows and state support.
机译:远见方法系统最常用于解决与历史按年表连续性区别的研究问题。我们研究的目的是寻找新方法,以衡量农业部门的经济和金融潜力,以发展充足的公共行政战略。我们已经确定了这项趋势在未来几年内对农业部门和乌克兰经济的影响。我们使用了规范系统分析 - 一种方法,可以识别刺激或限制特定研究主题的特定情景的实施的措施。该方法旨在制定通过计算农业产业的金融潜力来制定政策和远见战略。研究的基础是,应当按照现行远见战略方法分析宏观水平的财务潜力,该方法涉及(i)识别预测(AMATRARIC部门)的对象,(ii)确定基本条件(目标可持续发展的财务潜力应符合),(iii)扫描环境(潜在资源和潜力类型与财务有关),(v)识别替代方案和可能的未来情景(建立资产负债表)。统计分析的结果表明,财务潜力的主要决定因素是:卷,结构和再生产的比例。此外,与农村发展的主要宏观经济指标进行了比较了金融潜力的效率和强度。结果表明,国家监管与农业部门相关的金融流量的必要性通过监测在许多关键参数中形成金融流程的过程而得到了旨在观察所有管理表格对财政资源的等价性的影响。这项研究有助于以前的乌克兰语境文学,在那里,我们提出了提高金融潜力质量,其形成和分配条件的方法,根据国家理念的“农业军部门”(2015年)的国家理念(2015)。此外,这项研究将为外国经验的适应铺平,包括金融流动和国家支持的国际比较。

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