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Quantifying the effectiveness of early warning systems for?natural?hazards

机译:量化预警系统的有效性?自然?危害

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Early warning systems (EWSs) are increasingly applied as preventive measures within an integrated risk management approach for natural hazards. At present, common standards and detailed guidelines for the evaluation of their effectiveness are lacking. To support decision-makers in the identification of optimal risk mitigation measures, a three-step framework approach for the evaluation of EWSs is presented. The effectiveness is calculated in function of the technical and the inherent reliability of the EWS. The framework is applicable to automated and non-automated EWSs and combinations thereof. To address the specifics and needs of a wide variety of EWS designs, a classification of EWSs is provided, which focuses on the degree of automations encountered in varying EWSs. The framework and its implementation are illustrated through a series of example applications of EWS in an alpine environment.
机译:早期预警系统(EWSS)越来越多地应用于综合风险管理方法中的预防措施,用于自然危害。目前,缺乏共同标准和评估其有效性的详细指南。为了支持决策者在确定最佳风险缓解措施中,提出了一种评估EWSS的三步框架方法。有效性是以技术和EWS的固有可靠性的函数计算的。该框架适用于自动化和非自动化EWSS及其组合。为了解决各种EWS设计的细节和需求,提供了EWSS的分类,专注于不同EWSS中遇到的自动化程度。框架及其实现通过在高山环境中的EWS的一系列示例应用程序来说明。

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