...
  • 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Risk Management and Healthcare Policy >Probable Longer Incubation Period for Elderly COVID-19 Cases: Analysis of 180 Contact Tracing Data in Hubei Province, China
【24h】

Probable Longer Incubation Period for Elderly COVID-19 Cases: Analysis of 180 Contact Tracing Data in Hubei Province, China

机译：老年人Covid-19案例可能更长的培养期：中国湖北省180例联系方式分析

获取原文
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Background: Factors associated with the incubation period of COVID-19 are not fully known. The aim of this study was to estimate the incubation period of COVID-19 using epidemiological contact tracing data, and to explore whether there were different incubation periods among different age gr1oups. Methods: We collected contact tracing data in a municipality in Hubei province during the full outbreak period of COVID-19. The exposure periods were inferred from the history of travel in Wuhan and/or history of exposure to confirmed cases. The incubation periods were estimated using parametric accelerated failure time models accounting for interval censoring of exposures. Results: The incubation period of COVID-19 follows a Weibull distribution and has a median of 5.8 days with a bootstrap 95% CI: 5.4– 6.7 days. Of the symptomatic cases, 95% showed symptoms by 14.3 days (95% CI: 13.0– 15.7), and 99% showed symptoms by 18.7 days (95% CI: 16.7– 20.9). The incubation periods were not found significantly different between male and female. Elderly cases had significant longer incubation periods than young age cases (HR 1.49 with 95% CI: 1.09– 2.05). The median incubation period was estimated at 4.0 days (95% CI: 3.5– 4.4) for cases aged under 30, 5.8 days (95% CI: 5.6– 6.0) for cases aged between 30 and 59, and 7.7 days (95% CI: 6.9– 8.4) for cases aged greater than or equal to 60. Conclusion: The current practice of a 14-day quarantine period in many regions is reasonable for any age. Older people infected with SARS-CoV2 have longer incubation period than that of younger people. Thus, more attention should be paid to asymptomatic elderly people who had a history of exposure.
机译：背景：与Covid-19的潜伏期相关的因素不完全已知。本研究的目的是使用流行病学接触跟踪数据估算Covid-19的潜伏期，并探讨不同年龄GR1的不同孵化期。方法：在Covid-19的全面爆发期间，我们在湖北省的一家市中国的联系跟踪数据。从武汉旅行史上推断出暴露时期和/或暴露于确诊病例的历史。使用参数加速故障时间模型估计孵化期估计，占曝光的间隔审查。结果：Covid-19的潜伏期跟随威布尔分布，并具有5​​.8天的中位数，Bootstrap 95％CI：5.4-6.7天。在症状病例中，95％显示症状14.3天（95％CI：13.0-15.7），99％显示症状18.7天（95％CI：16.7-20.9）。孵育期没有显着差异在雄性和女性之间。年长案例比年轻年龄案例显着更长的潜伏期（HR 1.49，95％CI：1.09- 2.05）。估计在30％，5.8天（95％CI：5.6-6.0）下的4.0天（95％CI：3.5-4.4）估计为30天，5.8天，7.7天（95％CI） ：6.9- 8.4）对于年龄大于或等于60的病例。结论：目前许多地区的14天检疫期的实践对于任何年龄都是合理的。感染SARS-COV2的老年人比较年轻人的孵化期更长。因此，应该更多地关注有暴露历史的无症状的老年人。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号