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Learning from satellite observations: increased understanding of catchment processes through stepwise model improvement

机译:从卫星观察中学习:通过逐步模型改进增加对集水过程的理解

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摘要

Satellite observations can provide valuable information for a better understanding of hydrological processes and thus serve as valuable tools for model structure development and improvement. While model calibration and evaluation have in recent years started to make increasing use of spatial, mostly remotely sensed information, model structural development largely remains to rely on discharge observations at basin outlets only. Due to the ill-posed inverse nature and the related equifinality issues in the modelling process, this frequently results in poor representations of the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of system-internal processes, in particular for large river basins. The objective of this study is thus to explore the value of remotely sensed, gridded data to improve our understanding of the processes underlying this heterogeneity and, as a consequence, their quantitative representation in models through a stepwise adaptation of model structures and parameters. For this purpose, a distributed, process-based hydrological model was developed for the study region, the poorly gauged Luangwa River basin. As a first step, this benchmark model was calibrated to discharge data only and, in a post-calibration evaluation procedure, tested for its ability to simultaneously reproduce (1)?the basin-average temporal dynamics of remotely sensed evaporation and total water storage anomalies and (2)?their temporally averaged spatial patterns. This allowed for the diagnosis of model structural deficiencies in reproducing these temporal dynamics and spatial patterns. Subsequently, the model structure was adapted in a stepwise procedure, testing five additional alternative process hypotheses that could potentially better describe the observed dynamics and pattern. These included, on the one hand, the addition and testing of alternative formulations of groundwater upwelling into wetlands as a function of the water storage and, on the other hand, alternative spatial discretizations of the groundwater reservoir. Similar to the benchmark, each alternative model hypothesis was, in a next step, calibrated to discharge only and tested against its ability to reproduce the observed spatio-temporal pattern in evaporation and water storage anomalies. In a final step, all models were re-calibrated to discharge, evaporation and water storage anomalies simultaneously. The results indicated that (1)?the benchmark model (Model?A) could reproduce the time series of observed discharge, basin-average evaporation and total water storage reasonably well. In contrast, it poorly represented time series of evaporation in wetland-dominated areas as well as the spatial pattern of evaporation and total water storage. (2)?Stepwise adjustment of the model structure (Models?B–F) suggested that Model?F, allowing for upwelling groundwater from a distributed representation of the groundwater reservoir and (3)?simultaneously calibrating the model with respect to multiple variables, i.e.?discharge, evaporation and total water storage anomalies, provided the best representation of all these variables with respect to their temporal dynamics and spatial patterns, except for the basin-average temporal dynamics in the total water storage anomalies. It was shown that satellite-based evaporation and total water storage anomaly data are not only valuable for multi-criteria calibration, but can also play an important role in improving our understanding of hydrological processes through the diagnosis of model deficiencies and stepwise model structural improvement.
机译:卫星观察可以提供有价值的信息,以便更好地了解水文过程,从而充当模型结构开发和改进的有价值的工具。虽然模型校准和评估近年来开始越来越多地利用空间,大多数远程感官信息,但模型结构发展仅依赖于盆地网点的出院观察。由于模拟过程中存在不良逆性和相关的等原性问题,这通常导致系统内部工艺的时空异质性的差,特别是对于大型河流盆地。因此,本研究的目的是探讨远程感测的网格数据,以改善我们对这种异质性潜在的过程的理解,并且因此通过模型结构和参数的逐步适应模型中的定量表示。为此目的,为研究区开发了一种分布式的基于过程的水文模型,该地区是较差的琅勃河流域。作为第一步,该基准模型仅校准以放电数据,并且在校准后评估程序中,测试其同时再现(1)的能力(1)?盆景平均蒸发蒸发和全水储存异常的盆地平均时间动态(2)?它们的时间平均空间模式。这允许诊断模型结构缺陷在再现这些时间动态和空间模式中的模型结构缺陷。随后,模型结构以逐步的过程调整,测试五个另外的替代工艺假设,其可能更好地描述观察到的动态和模式。一方面,这些包括作为储水的函数的地下水的地下水的替代配方的添加和测试,另一方面,地下水储存器的替代空间离散化。与基准相似,在下一步中,每个替代模型假设仅校准以放电并反对其在蒸发和储水异常中再现观察到的时空模式的能力。在最后一步中,所有模型都会同时重新校准以排出,蒸发和储存异常。结果表明(1)?基准模型(型号?A)可以再现观察到的放电,盆地平均蒸发和完全储水的时间序列。相比之下,它代表湿地主导地区蒸发的时间差张以及蒸发的空间模式和总储水。 (2.即?排出,蒸发和总漏水异常,除了总水储存异常中的盆地平均时间动态之外,所有这些变量的最佳表示提供了所有这些变量的最佳表示。结果表明,卫星蒸发和总储水异常数据不仅对多标准校准有价值,而且通过诊断模型缺陷和逐步模型结构改进,还可以发挥重要作用。

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