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Employment and Stability due to Innovations: a Look at Russia

机译：由于创新导致的就业和稳定：看看俄罗斯

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The high rates of the scientific and technical process have made significant adjustments to the methods for assessing the country’s GDP, labor productivity, and the number of the economically active population. Industry 4.0 has fundamentally changed the structure of the labor market and employment of the population in all countries, presenting new requirements for employers and employees. The use of self-driving vehicles, robots, automation of most business processes in various sectors of the national economy significantly increases labor productivity, ensures GDP growth, and reduces employment. Industry 4.0 makes available new, digital formats for continuous professional development, making it possible to adapt educational content to personnel and enterprise management quickly.A mathematical model was developed to predict the significant indicators of the economy and the labor market. It is a linear equation system that, given the initial conditions, provides the formation of various forecast scenarios.The results of computational experiments on calculating labor productivity, changes in the number of employees and earnings, as well as the number of the economically active population of the Russian Federation in 2021-2035, are presented. The calculations were carried out for three main combinations: a) changes in GDP; b) changes in labor productivity c) changes in numbers. The research’s information base is the state statistical sources and forecasts both in general and individual enterprises.
机译：科学和技术过程的高利率对评估国家GDP，劳动生产率和经济活跃人群人口的数量进行了重大调整。行业4.0从根本上改变了劳动力市场的结构和所有国家的人口的就业，为雇主和雇员提出了新的要求。使用自动驾驶车辆，机器人，国民经济各部门的大多数业务流程的自动化显着提高了劳动生产率，可确保GDP增长，并减少就业。行业4.0为持续的专业开发提供新的数字格式，可以快速调整对人员和企业管理的教育内容。发展数学模型以预测经济和劳动力市场的重要指标。它是一个线性方程系统，鉴于初始条件，提供各种预测情景的形成。计算劳动生产率的计算实验结果，员工和收益数量的变化，以及经济活跃的人口的数量在2021 - 2015年的俄罗斯联邦提出。计算的三种主要组合：a）GDP的变化; b）劳动生产率的变化c）数量的变化。该研究的信息基础是一般和个人企业的国家统计来源和预测。

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