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Talking about an evolution

机译:谈论进化

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摘要

In business, there are few worse feelings than having the rug pulled from under you, and to discover that the truth you thought was absolute is inf fact a mirage. It is one of those occurrences that you are happy to see happen to other people; that can make you paranoid about double-checking and triple-checking everything about your own organization. In philosophy it is known as the "black swan problem," or to give it the more technical title, the problem of induction. It is called the black swan problem after the discovery of Australia -hitherto the only swans observed by Western scientists were white, hence the knowledge that all swans were white was up there with 2 + 2=4 and "Is the Pope catholic?" Imagine the look on the faces of those intrepid explorers when they saw a black swan waddling toward them.
机译:在商业中,比在你底下拉出的情况越来越少,并发现你认为的真相是绝对的,是米法里奇。这是你很高兴看到别人的事件之一;这可以让您对双重检查和三重检查您自己组织的一切的偏执狂。在哲学中,它被称为“黑天鹅问题”,或者给予它越来越多的技术标题,归纳问题。它在澳大利亚发现后被称为黑天鹅问题 - 赫特托西方科学家观察的唯一天鹅是白人,因此知道所有天鹅都是白色的,在那里有2 + 2 = 4,“是教皇天主教徒?”想象一下,当他们看到一只黑色天鹅蹒跚而朝着他们蹒跚而行地看着那些内脏的面孔。

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