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首页> 外文期刊>Ecological Economics >Conceptualizing Sustainable Development: An Assessment Methodology Connecting Values, Knowledge, Worldviews And Scenarios
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Conceptualizing Sustainable Development: An Assessment Methodology Connecting Values, Knowledge, Worldviews And Scenarios

机译：可持续发展的概念化：连接价值，知识，世界观和情景的评估方法

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摘要

Sustainability science poses severe challenges to classical disciplinary science. To bring the perspectives of diverse disciplines together in a meaningful way, we describe a novel methodology for sustainability assessment of a particular social-ecological system, or country. Starting point is that a sustainability assessment should investigate the ability to continue and develop a desirable way of living vis-a-vis later generations and life elsewhere on the planet. Evidently, people hold different values and beliefs about the way societies sustain quality of life for their members. The first step, therefore, is to analyze people's value orientations and the way in which they interpret sustainability problems i.e. their beliefs. The next step is to translate the resulting worldviews into model-based narratives, i.e. scenarios. The qualitative and quantitative outcomes are then investigated in terms of associated risks and opportunities and robustness of policy options. The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) has followed this methodology, using extensive surveys among the Dutch population. In its First Sustainability Outlook (2004), the resulting archetypical worldviews became the basis for four different scenarios for policy analysis, with emphases on the domains of transport, energy and food. The goal of the agency's Sustainability Outlooks is to show that choices are inevitable in policy making for sustainable development, to indicate which positive and negative impacts one can expect of these choices (trade-offs), and to identify options that may be robust under several worldviews. The conceptualization proposed here is both clear and applicable in practical sustainability assessments for policy making.
机译：可持续性科学对古典学科提出了严峻的挑战。为了以有意义的方式将不同学科的观点融合在一起，我们描述了一种新颖的方法，用于对特定社会生态系统或国家进行可持续性评估。出发点是，可持续性评估应研究与未来世代以及地球其他地方生活相比，继续发展能力的理想能力。显然，人们对社会维持其成员的生活质量的方式持有不同的价值观和信念。因此，第一步是分析人们的价值取向以及他们解释可持续性问题即信念的方式。下一步是将产生的世界观转换为基于模型的叙述，即场景。然后根据相关的风险和机遇以及政策选择的稳健性来研究定性和定量结果。荷兰环境评估署（PBL）采用了这种方法，对荷兰人口进行了广泛的调查。在其《第一份可持续发展展望》（2004年）中，由此产生的典型世界观成为四种不同政策分析方案的基础，重点是交通，能源和粮食领域。该机构《可持续发展展望》的目标是表明，在可持续发展的政策制定中不可避免地要做出选择，指出人们可以期望这些选择带来哪些正面和负面影响（权衡取舍），并确定在几种情况下可能是强有力的选择。世界观。此处提出的概念化既明确又适用于决策的实际可持续性评估。

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