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On the evolution of technological specialization patterns in emerging countries: comparing Asia and Latin America

机译：论新兴国家技术专业化模式的演变：比较亚洲和拉丁美洲

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This paper explores the role of technological opportunity and cumulativeness in the evolution of technological specialization patterns (TSP) in catching-up processes. Concretely, I assume that opportunity induces mobility while cumulativeness leads to diversification and stability. The empirical analysis uses patent data indicators for nine Asian and Latin American countries between 1978 and 2012. The paper shows that, during economic liberalization (although with different timings), emerging countries caught up and redefined the path of technological accumulation for Asian and Latin American countries. With the exception of Hong Kong, all the countries increased their technology share, but they ran in different directions. Asian countries made greater relative efforts in dynamic technologies, while Latin American countries focused on stagnant technologies. In this sense, Asian countries achieved a more successful performance, building new technological bases and taking a technological leap in some of the more dynamic technologies. Meanwhile, Latin American countries left their technological bases unchanged. The paper also shows that, at the beginning of the catching-up cycle, the TSPs were turbulent. Afterwards, cumulativeness in the technological choice induced the diversification and stabilization of the TSPs.
机译：本文探讨了技术机会和累积性在追赶过程中技术专业模式（TSP）演变中的作用。具体地，我假设机会诱导移动性，而累积性导致多样化和稳定性。经验分析使用1978年至2012年间的九个亚洲和拉丁美洲国家的专利数据指标。本文展示，在经济自由化（尽管有不同的时间），新兴国家赶上并重新定义了亚洲和拉丁美洲的技术积累道路国家。由于香港除外，所有国家的所有国家都增加了他们的技术份额，但它们在不同的方向上跑了。亚洲国家在动态技术方面取得了更大的相对努力，而拉美国家专注于停滞技术。从这个意义上讲，亚洲国家履行了更成功的绩效，建立了新的技术基础，并在一些更具动态技术中进行了技术飞跃。与此同时，拉丁美洲国家将其技术基地保持不变。本文还表明，在捕获循环开始时，TSP是湍流的。之后，技术选择中的丰富性诱导了TSP的多样化和稳定性。

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