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The dividend is delayed

机译:股息被延迟

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How unusual is Africa's demography? If you take a selection of countries, from Algeria and Tunisia in the north to Botswana and South Africa in the south, you may answer: not that unusual. In the early 1960s those nations had fertility rates of between 5.5 and 7.5, meaning the average woman there could expect to have that number of children during her lifetime. That was about the same as fertility in Brazil, China, Indonesia and Mexico at the time. Now, all the countries have similar fertility rates of between 1.5 and 3.0. The main difference is that the Asian and Latin American nations saw their fertility decline at a fairly steady pace over the past 50 years, whereas the African ones saw their fertility stay high until the mid-1980s, then fall sharply.
机译:非洲的人口统计学有多不寻常?如果您选择一些国家,从北部的阿尔及利亚和突尼斯到南部的博茨瓦纳和南非,您可能会回答:并非如此。在1960年代初期,这些国家的生育率在5.5到7.5之间,这意味着那里的普通妇女在其一生中可以预期有那么多孩子。当时的生育率与巴西,中国,印度尼西亚和墨西哥的生育率大致相同。现在,所有国家的生育率相近,介于1.5和3.0之间。主要区别在于,亚洲和拉丁美洲国家的生育率在过去50年中以相当稳定的速度下降,而非洲国家的生育率一直居高不下,直到1980年代中期,然后急剧下降。

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    《The economist》 |2014年第8877期|67-68|共2页
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