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Things to look forward to

机译:值得期待的事情

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As any amateur futurologist can tell you, the rich world is rapidly getting older. By 2050 more than a quarter of the developed world's population will be over 65. At the moment, that group makes up about a sixth of the rich-world population, and only about 25% of them are over 80. In 2050 the octogenarians and their elders will comprise 40% of the 65-plus cohort in wealthy countries.rnThis greying of the prosperous parts of the world has long been foreseen, if not very well prepared for. Much less well known is the fact that well-off countries are far from alone in facing the prospect of an ageing population. Babies born today in poorish countries such as Thailand or Jamaica can reasonably expect to live into their 70s. And as more and more Indians and Chinese escape from poverty, they too will have much longer spans (see chart).
机译:正如任何业余未来学家所能告诉您的那样,富裕世界正在迅速变老。到2050年,超过60%的发达国家人口将超过65岁。目前,该群体约占富裕世界人口的六分之一,其中只有约25%的人口超过80岁。他们的长者将占富裕国家65岁以上人群的40%。长期以来,人们已经预见到这种富裕地区的灰暗,即使没有做好充分的准备。鲜为人知的事实是,富裕国家远不止一个国家​​面临人口老龄化的前景。今天在泰国或牙买加等贫穷国家出生的婴儿可以合理地预期到70岁。随着越来越多的印度人和中国人摆脱贫困,他们的跨度也将更长(参见图表)。

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    《The economist》 |2008年第8591期|65|共1页
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