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Economics focus: Inflated claims

机译：经济学重点：虚假声明

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Many people in America and Europe think that the recent surge in inflation, like almost everything else these days, is "made in China". For a number of years, cheap Chinese goods helped to reduce prices in rich economies, but more recently wages and prices have surged in China. On top of this, the hungry dragon's insatiable appetite for food, energy and other raw materials has given cartoonists an emotive image for the surge in global commodity prices. As a result, it is claimed, China is no longer exporting deflation to the rich world, but inflation.rnChina's inflation rate did indeed hit almost 9% earlier this year (by July it had fallen to 6.3%). And after declining for several years, the prices of America's imports from China jumped by 5.3% in the year to July, pushing up the prices of goods in Wal-Mart, where many Americans shop. However, import prices from China are rising more slowly than the cost of goods from elsewhere: the average price of manufactured goods imported into America from industrialised countries rose by 10.1% over the past year (see left-hand chart). Moreover, all of the increase in the price of Chinese imports reflects the fall in the dollar against the yuan, not higher costs in China. In yuan terms, average Chinese export prices are still falling.
机译：欧美许多人认为，最近的通货膨胀率飙升，就像如今的几乎所有其他情况一样，都是“中国制造的”。多年来，廉价的中国商品帮助降低了发达经济体的价格，但最近，中国的工资和价格上涨了。最重要的是，饥饿的巨龙对食物，能源和其他原材料的狂热需求使漫画家对全球商品价格的上涨产生了情感上的印象。结果，中国不再向富裕国家出口通货紧缩，而是通货膨胀。rn中国的通货膨胀率确实在今年早些时候达到了近9％（到7月已降至6.3％）。而且，在连续几年下降之后，到7月的一年中，美国从中国进口的商品价格上涨了5.3％，推高了许多美国人在沃尔玛购物的商品价格。但是，从中国进口的价格涨幅低于从其他地方进口的商品价格：从工业化国家进口到美国的制成品的平均价格在过去一年中增长了10.1％（参见左图）。此外，中国进口商品价格的所有上涨都反映了美元兑人民币汇率下跌，而不是中国的成本上涨。以人民币计算，中国平均出口价格仍在下降。

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    《The economist》 |2008年第8593期|72|共1页
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