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The Israeli dilemma over Hamas

机译:以色列对哈马斯的困境

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Belying fears of violence, Palestinians voted peacefully and numerously for a new parliament on January 25th. But as The Economist went to press, the outcome was uncertain. While exit polls had pointed to a narrow victory for Fatah, the ruling party in the Palestinian Authority (PA), unofficial initial counts gave its Islamist rival Hamas some 70 seats of the 132 in the legislature. The pa cabinet, which has to be reappointed after a legislative election, resigned pre-emptively at the news. If neither party gets more than half the seats, one of them will have to form a coalition with some of the smaller parties. These tend to lean towards the secular Fatah party, though a couple may see benefits in siding with Hamas. Yet even if Hamas wins outright, it will probably try to avoid the showdown-with Fatah, Israel and the rest of the world-that would result from taking over the pa. "It will take a subtle, measured approach and will try to appease others," says Hisham Ahmed, a political scientist at Birzeit University. Mahmoud Abbas, a Fatah man, remains the Palestinian president and will get to appoint the cabinet.
机译:巴勒斯坦人出于对暴力的恐惧,于1月25日举行和平无数次投票,要求建立新议会。但是,在《经济学人》付印之时,结果尚不确定。虽然出口民意测验显示,巴勒斯坦权力机构执政党法塔赫(Fatah)获胜,但非正式的初步统计却使伊斯兰竞争对手哈马斯(Hamas)在立法机关的132个中占了70个席位。在立法选举后必须重新任命的内阁,在新闻中先后辞职。如果任何一方的席位都不超过一半,其中一个席位就必须与一些较小的政党组成联盟。这些人倾向于倾向于世俗的法塔赫政党,尽管一对夫妇在哈马斯的陪伴下可能会受益。然而,即使哈马斯完全获胜,它也可能会设法避免与法塔赫,以色列以及世界其他地区的争夺战,这将是接管巴勒斯坦权力机构造成的。 Birzeit大学的政治学家Hisham Ahmed说:“这将采取一种微妙的,审慎的方法,并试图使他人安抚。”法塔赫人马哈茂德·阿巴斯(Mahmoud Abbas)仍是巴勒斯坦总统,并将任命内阁。

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