The future of economics

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The future of economics

机译：经济学的未来

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The discipline to which this column is dedicated is in trouble. It nearly always has been. Only for a decade or two after 1945 did things look promising. That was when a revolution in methodology led many to believe that economics would at last become a proper science, not a literary pursuit for gentlemen-scholars. Mathematics, statistics and formal theoretical models were the new way forward; better forecasts and scientifically proven economic policies would be the result. Alas, the mathematics stayed but the optimism did not. Clarity and certainty, not to mention public esteem, still elude the discipline.

机译：本专栏所致力于的学科陷入困境。几乎一直如此。 1945年之后的仅仅十年或两年，事情才看起来充满希望。那时，方法论的革命使许多人相信，经济学最终将成为一门正确的科学，而不是绅士学者的文学追求。数学，统计学和形式理论模型是新的发展方向。结果将是更好的预测和科学证明的经济政策。 las，数学仍然存在，但乐观情绪却没有。清晰和确定性，更不用说公众的尊敬，仍然没有遵守纪律。

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《The economist》 |2000年第8160期|p.80|共1页
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中图分类经济;各科经济学;
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