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5G Auctions: No Surprises In Switzerland, Caution Advised In Germany

机译：5G拍卖：瑞士不出意外，德国建议谨慎行事

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The Swiss auction saw incumbent Swisscom and challengers Sunrise and Salt securing frequencies for future 5G services. The operators spent a total of nearly CHF380mn (USD378mn), more than the expected CHF220mn, with Swisscom spending the most, reaching CHF195.5mn, followed by Salt (CHF94.5mn) and Sunrise (CHF89.2mn). Given the high level of saturation in the mobile market and with 3G/4G connections expected to represent 100% of all connections by 2020, Swiss operators see advanced LTE services and 5G technology as future sources of growth, as reflected by their bids. The fourth bidder, the UK-based Dense Air, did not purchase any frequencies. The German auction, scheduled for the second half of March 2019, might be delayed after Telefonica Deutschland filed an emergency motion to temporarily suspend it. The three main operators - Telefonica Deutschland, Vodafone and Deutsche Telekom - have all taken legal actions against the auction’s tight conditions, which include extensive geographic coverage and increased data speed. As the specific applications of 5G are still not completely clear, and given the high cost of deploying 5G infrastructure, operators do not want to tie their 5G investments to strict conditions that could undermine their business if not satisfied. Under the auction’s terms, the three dominant players are also required to provide roaming access to their network to any new entrant, as the regulator seeks to foster competition within the market. We believe more competition should come in the form of a market disruptor, with a wide impact on the dynamics of Germany’s telecom industry (see ‘Germany Needs An Enterprise Disruptor, Not A Fourth Operator’, August 28 2018). The 5G auction represents an opportunity for such a player to emerge.
机译：在瑞士的拍卖中，现有的Swisscom和挑战者Sunrise和Salt确保了未来5G服务的频率。运营商总共花费了近3.8亿瑞士法郎（3.78亿美元），超过了预期的2.2亿瑞士法郎，其中瑞士电信的支出最高，达到1.955亿瑞士法郎，其次是盐业（9,450万瑞士法郎）和日出（8,920万瑞士法郎）。鉴于移动市场的高度饱和，到2020年3G / 4G连接预计将占所有连接的100％，瑞士运营商将先进的LTE服务和5G技术视为未来增长的动力，正如其出价所反映的那样。第四名竞标者是英国的Dense Air，没有购买任何频率。原定于2019年3月下旬进行的德国拍卖可能在德国电信（Telefonica Deutschland）提出紧急要求暂时中止拍卖后被推迟。三大运营商-Telefonica Deutschland，Vodafone和Deutsche Telekom-都针对拍卖的严格条件采取了法律行动，其中包括广泛的地理覆盖范围和提高的数据速度。由于5G的具体应用仍不完全清楚，并且考虑到部署5G基础设施的高昂成本，运营商不希望将其5G投资与严格的条件联系在一起，如果条件不令人满意，这些条件可能会破坏其业务。根据拍卖的条款，随着监管机构试图促进市场竞争，还要求三个主要参与者向任何新进入者提供其网络的漫游访问权限。我们认为，更多的竞争应该以市场破坏者的形式来进行，这将对德国电信业的发展产生广泛的影响（请参阅“德国需要企业破坏者，而不是第四大运营商”，2018年8月28日）。 5G拍卖为此类玩家崛起提供了机会。

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