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On the spatiotemporal complementarity of the European onshore wind resource

机译:论欧洲陆上风力资源的时空互补性

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Among the renewable energy sources, the highest share of European net electricity generation comes from wind power. However, the European onshore wind resource?s volatile nature is a significant challenge in ensuring a constant national electricity supply. Therefore, this study examined the potential of complementary use of national wind resources available in 33 European countries. The complementarity of the national wind resources was assessed for 1971?2010 by identifying the time scales explaining the largest part of the variance in the time series of daily wind energy yield. The results of a novel combination of wavelet analysis, graph models, and dynamic time warping indicate that the wind energy yield shows the most substantial variations at the annual, seasonal, and multi-day scales. Geographical proximity is a critical factor in the complementarity of national wind energy yields. At all evaluated time scales, the wind energy yield in most central and western European countries is strongly correlated, forming a large supranational network with low potential for complementary use of national wind resources. Although the seasonal component of daily wind energy yield is shifted between the European countries by up to several weeks, which would create potential for complementary use, domestic electricity consumption often exceeds the usable wind resources. Domestic electricity consumption was found to be a major barrier to the transboundary exchange of wind energy. Based on the results obtained for the European onshore wind resource?s spatiotemporal dynamics, it must be assumed that the potential for regular complementary transboundary use of wind resources is limited.
机译:在可再生能源中,欧洲净发电的最高份额来自风力。然而,欧洲陆上风力资源?S挥发性性质在确保恒定的国家电力供应方面是一个重大挑战。因此,本研究审查了33个欧洲国家的国家风力资源补充使用的潜力。通过确定日常风能产量的时间序列中的最大部分的时间尺度来评估国家风力资源的互补性。小波分析,图形模型和动态时间翘曲的新组合的结果表明,风能产量显示年,季节性和多日秤的最具实质性变化。地理邻近是国家风能收益率互补的关键因素。在所有评估的时间尺度上,大多数中欧和西欧国家的风能产量都强烈相关,形成了一个大型超法网络,具有互补利用国家风力资源的潜力。虽然日常风能收益率的季节性成分在欧洲国家之间转移到几周内,但这将产生互补使用潜力,但国内电力消耗通常超过可用的风力资源。发现国内电力消耗是对风能越境交流的主要障碍。基于欧洲陆上风力资源的结果,必须假设常规互补跨界使用风力资源的潜力有限。

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