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The incentive to invest in thermal plants in the presence of wind generation

机译:在有风力发电的情况下投资热电厂的动机

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摘要

In a deregulated market, the decision to add generation rests with private investors. This paper evaluates how generator profits are affected by increasing wind generation. Using hourly historical data for the Irish Single Electricity Market, we simulate new series of electricity prices, representative plant bids and wind generation. We calibrate the model based on the negative correlation between electricity prices and wind generation. This allows us to determine that increasing wind generation induces lower profits for all baseload plants. Additionally, it decreases profits for baseload natural gas plants more than for less flexible coal-fuelled plants, which might encourage investment in less flexible plants.
机译:在放松管制的市场中,增加发电量的决定取决于私人投资者。本文评估了风力发电增加对发电机利润的影响。使用爱尔兰单一电力市场的每小时历史数据,我们模拟了新的电价系列,具有代表性的电厂投标和风力发电。我们根据电价与风力发电之间的负相关性对模型进行校准。这使我们可以确定,增加风力发电量会降低所有基本负荷电厂的利润。此外,与较低灵活性的燃煤电厂相比,它降低了基本负荷天然气电厂的利润,这可能会鼓励对较低灵活性的电厂进行投资。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy economics》 |2014年第5期|306-315|共10页
  • 作者单位

    Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin, Ireland Department of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland;

    Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin, Ireland Department of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland,Economic and Social Research Institute, Whitaker Square, Sir John Rogerson's Quay, Dublin 2, Ireland;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Electricity; Generation incentives; Simulation; Wind generation; Ireland;

    机译:电力;一代激励措施;模拟;风力发电;爱尔兰;

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