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Modelling the potential for industrial energy efficiency in IEA’s World Energy Outlook

机译:在IEA的《世界能源展望》中模拟工业能源效率的潜力

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The industry sector accounts for more than a third of global final energy consumption and nearly the same share of global energy-related CO2 emissions. Compared with other sectors, however, industrial energy modelling has received less attention due to the variety of sub-sectors, impact of energy-saving measures on product qualities and statistical problems. This paper explains how the industry sector is modelled in the World Energy Outlook and presents energy-saving opportunities from energy efficiency in the sector. Using the World Energy Model, a partial equilibrium model, it is found that exploiting the economic potential of energy efficiency can reduce energy demand growth in industry from 1.5 to 1.1 % per year on average over the period 2010–2035. Savings arise from faster adoption of more efficient technologies, phasing out older facilities, process change and system optimisation, including electric motor-driven systems. Significant barriers to the implementation of energy efficiency are the requirement for short payback periods and concerns that change could interrupt production or affect reliability. In order to realise the potential energy savings, policy makers need to address these issues by improving mechanisms for capacity building, energy management and financing.
机译:工业部门占全球最终能源消耗的三分之一以上,在全球与能源有关的二氧化碳排放中所占份额几乎相同。但是,与其他行业相比,由于子行业的多样性,节能措施对产品质量的影响和统计问题,工业能源建模受到的关注较少。本文解释了如何在《世界能源展望》中对工业部门进行建模,并提出了该部门能源效率带来的节能机会。使用世界能源模型(一种局部均衡模型),发现利用能效的经济潜力可以在2010-2035年期间将工业的能源需求增长平均每年从1.5%降低到1.1%。通过更快地采用更高效的技术,逐步淘汰旧设备,改变工艺和优化系统(包括电动机驱动的系统)来节省开支。缩短能源回收期的要求以及对变化可能会中断生产或影响可靠性的担忧,是实现能源效率的重大障碍。为了实现潜在的节能效果,决策者需要通过改善能力建设,能源管理和融资机制来解决这些问题。

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