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IEA's New World Energy Outlook Reports Large Disparities in Regional Energy Prices Affecting Industrial Competitiveness

机译:IEA的《新世界能源展望》报告称,地区能源价格存在巨大差异,影响了产业竞争力

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Technology and high prices are opening up new oil resources, but this does not mean the world is on the verge of an era of oil abundance, according to the International Energy Agencys (IEA) 2013 edition of the World Energy Outlook (WEO-2013). Indeed, rising oil output from North America and Brazil reduces the role of OPEC countries "in quenching the worlds thirst for oil over the next decade." However, the IEA forecasts that the Middle East C "the only large source of low-cost oil" C will "take back its role as a key source of oil supply growth from the mid-2020s." According to this annual forecast, oil supply rises from 89 mb/d in 2012 to 101 mb/d in 2035 in the New Policies Scenario (the central scenario). Key components of the increase are unconventional oil (up 10 mb/d) and natural gas liquids (NGLs) linked to the increase in global natural gas output (up 5 mb/d). Conventional crude oils share in total oil production falls, from 80% in 2012 to two-thirds (66%) in 2035. Iraq is the largest single source of oil production growth, followed by Brazil1, Canada and Kazakhstan. The U.S. is the worlds largest oil producer for much of the period to 2035.
机译:根据国际能源机构(IEA)2013年版的《世界能源展望》(WEO-2013),技术和高价正在开辟新的石油资源,但这并不意味着世界正处于石油丰富时代的边缘。 。确实,北美和巴西的石油产量增加削弱了欧佩克国家“在下一个十年消除世界对石油的需求中”的作用。但是,IEA预测,中东C“唯一的低成本石油大来源” C将“从2020年代中期起恢复其作为石油供应增长的主要来源的作用”。根据这一年度预测,在新政策情景(中央情景)中,石油供应将从2012年的89 mb / d增长到2035年的101 mb / d。增长的关键因素是与全球天然气产量增长(上升5 mb / d)相关的非常规石油(上升10 mb / d)和天然气液体(NGLs)。传统原油在石油总产量中的份额从2012年的80%下降到2035年的三分之二(66%)。伊拉克是石油产量增长的最大单一来源,其次是巴西1,加拿大和哈萨克斯坦。到2035年的大部分时间里,美国都是世界上最大的石油生产国。

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