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Can urban rail transit curb automobile energy consumption?

机译：城市轨道交通可以抑制汽车能耗吗？

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摘要

With the rapid development of China's economy and the speed of urbanization, China's automobile sector has experienced rapid development. The rapid development of the automobile sector has increased energy consumption. According to the results of this paper, automobile energy consumption accounted for about 10.73% of total energy consumption in China in 2015, about 3.6 times the proportion a decade ago. With the deterioration of urban traffic conditions, relying on expanding the amount of vehicles and city road network cannot solve the problem. Urban rail transit is energy-saving and less-polluting, uses less space, has large capacity, and secure. Urban rail transit, according to the principle of sustainable development, is a green transportation system and should be especially adopted for large and medium-sized cities. The paper uses the binary choice model (Probit and Logit) to analyze the main factors influencing the development of rail transit in Chinese cities, and whether automobile energy consumption is the reason for the construction of urban rail transit. Secondly, we analyze the influence of urban rail transit on automobile energy consumption using DID model. The results indicate that the construction of urban rail traffic can restrain automobile energy consumption significantly, with continuous impact in the second-year.
机译：随着中国经济的快速发展和城市化的加快，中国的汽车行业经历了快速的发展。汽车行业的快速发展增加了能源消耗。根据本文的结果，2015年汽车能耗约占中国总能耗的10.73％，约为十年前的3.6倍。随着城市交通条件的恶化，依靠扩大车辆数量和城市道路网无法解决问题。城市轨道交通既节能又污染少，占地少，容量大，安全可靠。根据可持续发展的原则，城市轨道交通是一种绿色交通运输系统，应特别适用于大中型城市。本文采用二元选择模型（Probit和Logit）来分析影响中国城市轨道交通发展的主要因素，以及汽车能耗是否是城市轨道交通建设的原因。其次，我们使用DID模型分析了城市轨道交通对汽车能耗的影响。结果表明，城市轨道交通的建设可以显着抑制汽车能耗，并在第二年产生持续影响。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2017年第6期|120-127|共8页
  • 作者

    Lin Boqiang; Du Zhili;

  • 作者单位

    Xiamen Univ, China Inst Studies Energy Policy, Sch Management, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Energy Econ & Energy Polic, Fujian 361005, Peoples R China;

    Xiamen Univ, China Ctr Energy Econ Res, Sch Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Urban rail transit; Automobile energy consumption; DID model;

    机译：城市轨道交通;汽车能耗;DID模型;

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