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Challenges Of Rapid Economic Growth In China: Reconciling Sustainable Energy Use, Environmental Stewardship And Social Development

机译:中国经济快速增长的挑战:协调可持续能源使用,环境管理和社会发展

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摘要

China aims at quadrupling per-capita GDP by 2020 compared to the year 2000. Without any energy and environmental policy measures, this tremendous economic growth would be associated with a quadrupling of primary energy consumption up to 6.3 billion tons of standard coal equivalents (sce) and energy-related CO_2-emissions of 13.9 billion tons Against this background, this paper is to set China's need to implement its sustainable development strategy into the quantitative context of the countries economic development and subsequent economic growth-related environmental problems. China is urgently searching for a way to ease the negative implications of economic growth and has committed itself to achieve a level of 3.0 billion ton sce primary energy consumption in 2020. As a consequence, the macro-economic energy intensity has to be reduced by 53% by 2020. A reduction of 53% by 2020 would lead to an energy intensity level 30% points below the year-2000 level of developed countries. As for natural resources, the expected economic growth will lead to an increase of crude oil net-imports up to 455 million ton sce in 2020 and 650 million ton sce in 2030. As for regional income distribution, economic growth helped to decrease existing inequities.
机译:中国的目标是到2020年人均GDP比2000年翻两番。如果不采取任何能源和环境政策措施,这种巨大的经济增长将使一次能源消费翻两番,达到63亿吨标准煤当量(标准煤)与能源相关的CO_2排放量为139亿吨在此背景下,本文旨在将中国实施可持续发展战略的需要纳入该国经济发展和随之而来的与经济增长相关的环境问题的定量背景中。中国正紧急寻求减轻经济增长负面影响的方法,并承诺到2020年实现一次能源消费30亿吨标准煤的水平。因此,宏观经济能源强度必须降低53。到2020年,能源强度水平降低53%。到2020年,能源强度水平将比发达国家的2000年水平低30%。在自然资源方面,预期的经济增长将导致原油净进口增加,2020年达到4.55亿标准立方英尺,2030年达到6.5亿标准立方英尺。就区域收入分配而言,经济增长有助于减少现有的不平等。

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