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Pathways to climate stabilisation

机译:气候稳定的途径

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Global climate warming mitigation efforts are more likely to be successful if they are based on per-capita emissions rather than on complex negotiated emission rights. I propose a path to temperature stabilisation optimised for each country and reaching a common per-capita rate of greenhouse gas emissions by the end of the 21st century. Consistent emission pathways forgiven levels of temperature stabilisation are calculated by use of a simple model that is consistent with the circulation models and data sets surveyed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The allowable emissions are detailed on a regional level and on individual country level. I discuss the merits of this type of approach relative to other policy approaches, as well as some of the objections that may be voiced.
机译:如果全球缓解气候变化的努力是基于人均排放量,而不是基于复杂的议定排放权,则更有可能取得成功。我提出了一个为每个国家优化温度稳定的途径,并在21世纪末达到人均温室气体排放量的通用水平。通过使用与政府间气候变化专门委员会调查的循环模型和数据集一致的简单模型,可以计算出达到稳定温度水平的一致排放途径。允许的排放量在地区级别和单个国家级别都有详细说明。我将讨论这种方法相对于其他政策方法的优点,以及可能提出的一些反对意见。

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