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Technical and economical analysis of an induced demand in the photovoltaic sector

机译:光伏部门感应需求的技术和经济分析

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We analyse the potential economic impact of a demand of photovoltaic (PV) devices in Morocco, in terms of induced production and job creation. In Morocco a high potential for PV installations exists as proved by the number of national and international deployment initiatives currently underway. In our study, we first describe the manufacturing process providing as final output the solar modules and associate the corresponding costs to each step of the process. These costs are needed to determine the technical coefficients of an ad hoc PV sector to be added to the Morocco Leontief matrix. Then, using the input-output methodology, we evaluate the economic impact of the production of 5 MW_p modules a year under different hypotheses. A production of 5 MW_P PV modules, which require an overall investment of EUD16.3 millions, increases production of EUD57.6 millions if cells are locally produced and of EUD22.3 millions when the cells are imported, creating 2570 and 489 jobs, respectively. These results outline the importance of availability of intermediate inputs in local economical context.
机译:我们从诱导生产和创造就业的角度分析了摩洛哥光伏(PV)装置需求的潜在经济影响。在摩洛哥,目前正在实施的许多国家和国际部署计划证明了光伏装置的巨大潜力。在我们的研究中,我们首先描述制造过程,该过程提供太阳能组件作为最终输出,并将相应的成本与过程的每个步骤相关联。需要这些成本来确定要添加到摩洛哥Leontief矩阵中的临时PV部门的技术系数。然后,使用投入产出方法,我们在不同的假设下评估了每年生产5 MW_p组件的经济影响。 5 MW_P PV组件的生产需要总共投资EUD16.3百万,如果是本地生产的电池,则需要增加EUD57.6百万的产量,而进口电池则要增加EUD22.3百万,分别创造2570和489个就业机会。 。这些结果概述了在当地经济背景下获得中间投入的重要性。

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