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Do temperature shocks affect non-agriculture wages in Brazil? Evidence from individual-level panel data

机译:温度冲击会影响巴西的非农业工资吗? 个人级别面板数据的证据

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The relationship between temperature and agriculture outcomes in Brazil has been widely explored, overlooking the fact that most of the country's labor force is employed in nonagriculture sectors. We use monthly individual-level panel data spanning the period from January 2015 to December 2016 to ask whether temperature shocks impact non-agriculture wages in formal labor markets. Our results show that additional days in a month that fall within high-temperature ranges have significant adverse effects on real wages. Assuming a uniform climate change scenario where the daily temperature distribution shifts by 2 degrees C, we calculate income losses for formal workers in non-agriculture markets equivalent to 0.12 per cent of 2015 GDP.
机译:巴西的温度与农业成果之间的关系得到了广泛的探索,忽视了这个国家的大多数劳动力在非农业部门雇用的事实。 我们使用2015年1月至2016年12月期间的每月个人级别面板数据询问温度震荡是否会影响正规劳动力市场的非农业工资。 我们的研究结果表明,在高温范围内下降的额外日子对实际工资具有显着的不利影响。 假设每日温度分布均匀的统一气候变化情景,我们计算非农业市场中正式工人的收入损失,相当于2015年GDP的0.12%。

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