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Irrigation as an adaptive strategy to climate change: an economic perspective on Brazilian agriculture

机译:灌溉作为适应气候变化的策略:巴西农业的经济学视角

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This paper analyzes the potential effects of climate change on Brazilian agriculture by considering irrigation as an adaptive strategy. Investigations were performed to determine how climatic variability influences irrigation and whether this adaptive measure actually reduces producers' vulnerability to climate change. We used a simultaneous equations model with endogenous switching to account for the heterogeneity in the decision of whether to use adaptive measures. We compared the expected land values under the actual and counterfactual cases of farm households that either adapt or do not adapt to climate change. Simulation results show that irrigation can be an effective tool for counteracting the harmful effects of climate change. The income of farmers tends to increase on lands where irrigation technologies are practiced. These conclusions confirm the need to invest in adaptation strategies to prepare Brazil for coping with the adverse effects of global climate change.
机译:本文通过将灌溉作为一种适应性策略,分析了气候变化对巴西农业的潜在影响。进行了调查以确定气候变化如何影响灌溉以及这种适应性措施是否实际上降低了生产者对气候变化的脆弱性。我们使用内生切换的联立方程模型来考虑是否使用自适应度量的异质性。我们在适应或不适应气候变化的农户实际和反事实情况下,比较了预期的土地价值。模拟结果表明,灌溉可以有效地抵消气候变化的不利影响。在采用灌溉技术的土地上,农民的收入往往会增加。这些结论证实,有必要投资适应战略,以使巴西为应对全球气候变化的不利影响做好准备。

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