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China's industrial SO_2 emissions and its economic determinants: EKC's reduced vs. structural model and the role of international trade

机译：中国的工业SO_2排放量及其经济决定因素：EKC的减排模型与结构模型以及国际贸易的作用

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摘要

This paper discusses the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis for the case of China's industrial SO_2 emissions: both its reduced form and structural model are considered. The EKC curve for China's per capita industrial SO_2 emissions predicts the turning point at 10,000 yuan (3,085 US$, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)). However, given China's fast population expansion, the decreasing trend in per capita emissions may well not be enough to bring about an immediate reduction in terms of total industrial SO_2 emissions and emissions density. Using the structural EKC model makes it possible to reveal how various factors contribute to the industrial SO_2 emissions density - namely, the three commonly known structural determinants and the marginal impact of international trade. International trade proves to have a two-fold impact: a significantly negative direct one and an indirect one that is dependent on the current capital-labour abundance ratio and on the income level of each province.
机译：本文讨论了环境库兹涅茨曲线假设对中国工业SO_2排放的有效性：同时考虑了其简化形式和结构模型。中国人均工业SO_2排放的EKC曲线预测转折点为10,000元人民币（3,085美元，购买力平价（PPP））。但是，鉴于中国人口的快速增长，人均排放量的下降趋势可能不足以立即减少工业SO_2的总排放量和排放密度。使用结构EKC模型可以揭示各种因素如何影响工业SO_2排放密度，即三个众所周知的结构决定因素和国际贸易的边际影响。事实证明，国际贸易具有两方面的影响：一个显着的负的直接贸易和一个间接的贸易，这取决于当前的资本－劳动力的丰度比率和每个省的收入水平。

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  • 来源
    《Environment and Development Economics》 |2009年第2期|227-262|共36页
  • 作者

    JIE HE;

  • 作者单位

    Department d'Economique and GREDI, Faculte d'Administration, Universite de Sherbrooke, 2500 Boulevard Universite, Sherbrooke J1K 2R1, Quebec, Canada;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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