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Dynamic Policy Impacts on a Technological-Change System of Renewable Energy: An Empirical Analysis

机译：动态政策对可再生能源技术变革系统的影响：一项实证分析

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Recently, harmonization of renewable energy policies has drawn growing attention as an important issue. To find the most effective combination, this paper identifies simultaneous interactions in an endogenous technological-change system and analyzes empirically the static and dynamic impacts of renewable energy policies in solar PV and wind power. The empirical results indicate that policy outcomes create a virtuous cycle in the technological change system through market oppurntunity, learning-by-searching, and learning-by-doing. According to the results, the static impact of technology-push and tariff incentive policies are effective on invention, while renwables obligation and CO2 tax appear to encourage cost reduction in the technologies. When the dynamic impacts of policy are considered, tariff incentives appears to outperform a renewables obligation policy with very small margin.We also found that the dynamic impact of CO2 tax varies with the level of technological development maturity.
机译：近来，可再生能源政策的统一已成为一个重要问题，引起了越来越多的关注。为了找到最有效的组合，本文确定了内源性技术变革系统中的同时相互作用，并通过经验分析了可再生能源政策对太阳能光伏和风能的静态和动态影响。实证结果表明，政策成果通过市场机会，逐项学习和边做边学在技术变革体系中创造了良性循环。根据结果​​，技术推销和关税激励政策对发明的静态影响是有效的，而可耕种义务和二氧化碳税似乎鼓励了技术成本的降低。当考虑政策的动态影响时，关税激励措施的表现似乎优于可再生能源义务政策，而且利润率很小。我们还发现，二氧化碳税的动态影响会随着技术发展成熟程度的变化而变化。

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