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Is the Green Solow Model Valid for Emissions in the European Union?

机译:绿色Solow模型是否适用于欧盟的排放?

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This paper addresses the emission patterns of the European Union from 1950 to 2010, and examines the validity of the Green Solow model, which simulates emissions growth by including only Solow forces and assuming emission intensity growth to be exogenous and constant. This study verifies that an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) trajectory exists for per capita emissions in the European Union, that emission intensity growth is decreasing over time, and that the decreasing intensity growth reflects variations of the dependent variable in the specifications of the Green Solow model. The critique by Stefanski (On the mechanics of the Green Solow model. OxCarre Research Paper 47, OxCarre & Laval University, Oxford, 2013) of the Green Solow model assumption of exogenous and constant intensity growth is validated. The EKC is defined as the emissions plotted against income and emission intensity is defined as the ratio of emissions to income. The EKC and emission intensity share identical definitions and similar transition trajectories over time. The transition of the EKC trajectory and decline in emission intensity growth began before worldwide attention was focused on global warming.
机译:本文介绍了1950年至2010年欧盟的排放模式,并检验了Green Solow模型的有效性,该模型通过仅包括Solow力并假定排放强度增长是外生的和恒定的来模拟排放量的增长。这项研究验证了欧盟人均排放量存在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)轨迹,排放强度的增长随着时间的推移而下降,并且强度下降的趋势反映了Green Solow规格中因变量的变化。模型。 Stefanski(关于Green Solow模型的力学。OxCarre研究论文47,OxCarre和Laval大学,牛津,2013年)对Green Solow模型假设外生和恒定强度增长的批评得到了验证。 EKC定义为相对于收入绘制的排放量,而排放强度定义为排放量与收入之比。随着时间的推移,EKC和发射强度具有相同的定义和相似的过渡轨迹。 EKC轨迹的转变和排放强度增长的下降开始,然后全球范围的注意力都集中在了全球变暖上。

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