A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture

Van Passel Steven; Massetti Emanuele; Mendelsohn Robert

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A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture

机译：气候变化对欧洲农业影响的李嘉图分析

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This research estimates the impact of climate on European agriculture using a continental scale Ricardian analysis. Climate, soil, geography and regional socio-economic variables are matched with farm level data from 41,030 farms across Western Europe. We demonstrate that a median quantile regression outperforms OLS given farm level data. The results suggest that European farms are slightly more sensitive to warming than American farms with impacts from 5 to 32 % by 2100 depending on the climate scenario. Farms in Southern Europe are predicted to be particularly sensitive, suffering losses of 5 to 9 % per degree Celsius.

机译：这项研究使用大陆范围的Ricardian分析估算了气候对欧洲农业的影响。气候，土壤，地理和区域社会经济变量与西欧41,030个农场的农场水平数据相匹配。我们证明了给定农场水平数据的中位数分位数回归优于OLS。结果表明，与美国农场相比，欧洲农场对变暖的敏感性略高，到2100年，影响幅度从5％到32％取决于气候情景。预计南欧的农场特别敏感，每摄氏度损失5％至9％。

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来源
《Environmental & Resource Economics》 |2017年第4期|725-760|共36页
作者
Van Passel Steven; Massetti Emanuele; Mendelsohn Robert;
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作者单位

Univ Antwerp, Fac Appl Econ, Dept Engn Management, Prinsstr 13, B-2000 Antwerp, Belgium|Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511 USA|Hasselt Univ, Fac Business Econ, Ctr Environm Sci, Martelarenlaan 42, B-3500 Hasselt, Belgium;

Georgia Inst Technol, 685 Cherry St, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA;

Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511 USA;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
Ricardian analysis; Climate change; European agriculture; Climate change economics; Quantile regression;

机译：里卡德分析;气候变化;欧洲农业;气候变化经济学;分位数回归;

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机译：气候变化对欧洲农业影响的李嘉图分析

A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on European Agriculture

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