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Modelling Loss of Resilience in Agroecosystems: Rangelands in Botswana

机译:农业生态系统的复原力损失建模:博茨瓦纳的牧场

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摘要

Economists have recently begun to consider the questions raised by the ecological concept of resilience - a measure of the degree to which a system can be perturbed before it switches from one stability domain to another. At a theoretical level, it has been argued that the loss of resilience in an ecological-economic system involves a change in its long-run productive potential, but no consideration has yet been given to the empirical investigation of this. This paper discusses an econometric approach to the problem, using the example of semi-arid rangelands. The long-run productive potential of the system is regarded as an unobserved state variable, change in which is irreversible or at least only slowly reversible.
机译:最近,经济学家开始考虑由弹性的生态概念提出的问题,即生态系统在从一个稳定域切换到另一个稳定域之前可以受到多大程度的干扰。从理论上讲,有人认为,生态经济系统中的弹性丧失涉及其长期生产潜力的变化,但尚未对此进行实证研究。本文以半干旱牧场为例,讨论了解决这一问题的计量经济学方法。系统的长期生产潜力被视为未观察到的状态变量,其中的变化是不可逆的或至少仅是缓慢可逆的。

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