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The impact of climate variability on infectious disease transmission in China: Current knowledge and further directions

机译：气候变化对中国传染病传播的影响：当前知识和未来方向

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摘要

Background: Climate change may lead to emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases and pose public health challenges to human health and the already overloaded healthcare system. It is therefore important to review current knowledge and identify further directions in China, the largest developing country in the world.Methods: A comprehensive literature review was conducted to examine the relationship between climate variability and infectious disease transmission in China in the new millennium. Literature was identified using the following MeSH terms and keywords: climatic variables [temperature, precipitation, rainfall, humidity, etc.] and infectious disease [viral, bacterial and parasitic diseases].Results: Fifty-eight articles published from January 1, 2000 to May 30, 2018 were included in the final analysis, including bacterial diarrhea, dengue, malaria, Japanese encephalitis, HFRS, HFMD, Schistosomiasis. Each 1 degrees C rise may lead to 3.6%-14.8% increase in the incidence of bacillary dysentery disease in south China. A 1 degrees C rise was corresponded to an increase of 1.8%-5.9% in the weekly notified HFMD cases in west China. Each 1 degrees C rise of temperature, 1% rise in relative humidity and one hour rise in sunshine led to an increase of 0.90%, 3.99% and 0.68% in the monthly malaria cases, respectively. Climate change with the increased temperature and irregular patterns of rainfall may affect the pathogen reproduction rate, their spread and geographical distribution, change human behavior and influence the ecology of vectors, and increase the rate of disease transmission in different regions of China.Conclusion: Exploring relevant adaptation strategies and the health burden of climate change will assist public health authorities to develop an early warning system and protect China's population health, especially in the new 1.5 degrees C scenario of the newly released IPCC special report.
机译：背景：气候变化可能导致传染病的出现和再度出现，并对人类健康和已经超负荷的医疗体系构成公共卫生挑战。因此，重要的是回顾当前的知识并确定世界上最大的发展中国家中国的进一步发展方向。方法：进行了全面的文献综述，以研究新世纪以来中国气候变化与传染病传播之间的关系。使用以下MeSH术语和关键字来识别文献：气候变量[温度，降水，降雨，湿度等]和传染病[病毒，细菌和寄生虫病]。结果：2000年1月1日至2005年发表了58篇文章。 2018年5月30日被纳入最终分析，包括细菌性腹泻，登革热，疟疾，日本脑炎，HFRS，HFMD，血吸虫病。华南每升高1摄氏度，细菌性痢疾的发病率就会增加3.6％-14.8％。在中国西部，每周通报的手足口病病例每升高1摄氏度，相应增加1.8％-5.9％。温度每升高1摄氏度，相对湿度增加1％和日照时间增加1小时，每月疟疾病例分别增加0.90％，3.99％和0.68％。气候变化伴随温度升高和降雨的不规则规律可能影响病原体的繁殖率，传播和地理分布，改变人类的行为并影响病媒的生态学，并增加中国不同地区的疾病传播率。相关的适应策略和气候变化的健康负担将帮助公共卫生当局建立预警系统并保护中国的人口健康，特别是在新发布的IPCC特别报告的新的1.5摄氏度情景中。

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  • 来源
    《Environmental research》 |2019年第6期|255-261|共7页
  • 作者

    Yi Liping; Xu Xin; Ge Wenxin; Xue Haibin; Li Jin; Li Daoyuan; Wang Chunping; Wu Haixia; Liu Xiaobo; Zheng Dashan; Chen Zhe; Liu Qiyong; Bi Peng; Li Jing;

  • 作者单位

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Dent, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Peoples Hosp, Clin Lab, Weifang 261000, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Peoples Hosp, Dept Dent, Weifang 261000, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang 2 Peoples Hosp, Dept Emergency, Weifang 261041, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China;

    Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

    Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China;

    Univ Adelaide, Sch Publ Hlth, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia|Anhui Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Hefei 230032, Anhui, Peoples R China;

    Weifang Med Univ, Div Environm Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, 7166 Baotong Xi St, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China|Hlth Shandong Major Social Risk Predict & Governa, Weifang 261053, Shandong, Peoples R China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Climate change; Infectious disease; Health burden; China;

    机译：气候变化;传染病;健康负担;中国;

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