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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental Science & Technology >Optimizing the Recovery Efficiency of Finnish Oil Combating Vessels in the Gulf of Finland Using Bayesian Networks
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Optimizing the Recovery Efficiency of Finnish Oil Combating Vessels in the Gulf of Finland Using Bayesian Networks

机译：使用贝叶斯网络优化芬兰湾芬兰混油船的回收效率

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摘要

Oil transport has greatly increased in the Gulf of Finland over the years, and risks of an oil accident occurring have risen. Thus, an effective oil combating strategy is needed. We developed a Bayesian Network (BN) to examine the recovery efficiency and optimal disposition of the Finnish oil combating vessels in the Gulf of Finland (GoF), Eastern Baltic Sea. Four alternative home harbors, five accident points, and ten oil combating vessels were included in the model to find the optimal disposition policy that would maximize the recovery efficiency. With this composition, the placement of the oil combating vessels seems not to have a significant effect on the recovery efficiency. The process seems to be strongly controlled by certain random factors independent of human action, e.g. wave height and stranding time of the oil. Therefore, the success of oil combating is rather uncertain, so it is also important to develop activities that aim for preventing accidents. We found that the model developed is suitable for this type of multidecision optimization. The methodology, results, and practices are further discussed.
机译：多年来，芬兰湾的石油运输已经大大增加，发生石油事故的风险也有所增加。因此，需要有效的石油对抗策略。我们建立了贝叶斯网络（BN），以检查波罗的海东部芬兰湾（GoF）的芬兰石油作战船的回收效率和最佳配置。该模型中包括四个替代的本国港口，五个事故点和十个石油作战船，以找到可最大化回收效率的最佳处置策略。用这种成分，油战斗船的放置似乎对回收效率没有显着影响。该过程似乎受到某些独立于人类行为的随机因素的强烈控制，例如油的波高和搁浅时间。因此，石油作战的成功还不确定，因此开展旨在预防事故的活动也很重要。我们发现开发的模型适用于这种类型的多决策优化。方法，结果和实践将进一步讨论。

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  • 来源
    《Environmental Science & Technology》 |2013年第4期|1792-1799|共8页
  • 作者

    Annukka Lehikoinen; Emilia Luoma; Samu Maentyniemi; Sakari Kuikka;

  • 作者单位

    Fisheries and Environmental Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Kotka Maritime Research Center, Heikinkatu 7, FI-48100 Kotka, Finland;

    Fisheries and Environmental Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, P.O. Box 65, FI-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland;

    Fisheries and Environmental Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, P.O. Box 65, FI-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland;

    Fisheries and Environmental Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, P.O. Box 65, FI-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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