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Energy Balance of the Global Photovoltaic (PV) Industry - Is the PV Industry a Net Electricity Producer?

机译:全球光伏(PV)行业的能源平衡-光伏行业是净电力生产商吗?

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摘要

A combination of declining costs and policy measures motivated by greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction and energy security have driven rapid growth in the global installed capacity of solar photovoltaics (PV). This paper develops a number of unique data sets, namely the following: calculation of distribution of global capacity factor for PV deployment; meta-analysis of energy consumption in PV system manufacture and deployment; and documentation of reduction in energetic costs of PV system production. These data are used as input into a new net energy analysis of the global PV industry, as opposed to device level analysis. In addition, the paper introduces a new concept: a model tracking energetic costs of manufacturing and installing PV systems, including balance of system (BOS) components. The model is used to forecast electrical energy requirements to scale up the PV industry and determine the electricity balance of the global PV industry to 2020. Results suggest that the industry was a net consumer of electricity as recently as 2010. However, there is a >50% that in 2012 the PV industry is a net electricity provider and will "pay back" the electrical energy required for its early growth before 2020. Further reducing energetic costs of PV deployment will enable more rapid growth of the PV industry. There is also great potential to increase the capacity factor of PV deployment. These conclusions have a number of implications for R&D and deployment, including the following: monitoring of the energy embodied within PV systems; designing more efficient and durable systems; and deploying PV systems in locations that will achieve high capacity factors.
机译:成本下降以及温室气体(GHG)减排和能源安全推动的政策措施共同推动了全球太阳能光伏(PV)装机容量的快速增长。本文开发了许多独特的数据集,即:计算光伏部署的全球容量因子的分布;光伏系统制造和部署中能耗的荟萃分析;和减少光伏系统生产能源成本的文件。与设备级分析相反,这些数据被用作全球光伏行业新的净能源分析的输入。此外,本文介绍了一个新概念:一个模型,该模型跟踪制造和安装PV系统的能源成本,包括系统(BOS)组件的平衡。该模型用于预测电能需求以扩大光伏产业规模,并确定到2020年全球光伏产业的电力平衡。结果表明,该产业在2010年以前是电力的净消耗者。但是,有一个>到2012年,光伏行业将有50%的净电力供应,并将“偿还”其在2020年之前的早期增长所需的电能。进一步降低光伏部署的能源成本将使光伏行业实现更快的增长。还有很大的潜力来增加PV部署的容量因子。这些结论对研发和部署有许多影响,包括以下内容:监控光伏系统内包含的能量;设计更有效,更耐用的系统;在将实现高容量系数的位置部署光伏系统。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Environmental Science & Technology》 |2013年第7期|3482-3489|共8页
  • 作者

    Michael Dale; Sally M. Benson;

  • 作者单位

    Global Climate and Energy Project, Stanford University, United States;

    Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, United States;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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