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Modeling The Temporal Variability Of Karst Groundwater Vulnerability, With Implications For Climate Change

机译：喀斯特地下水脆弱性的时间变化建模，对气候变化有影响

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To understand how groundwater resources may be affected by climate change and create sustainable management plans, modeling karst systems provides much insight. Water is one of the most valuable natural resources of all, crucial to human and all other kinds of life. Changes in water quantity and quality are considered to have strong environmental and socio-economic consequences. Global warming due to the so-called "greenhouse effect" is reported to cause changes in precipitation patterns and vapotranspiration. In Europe, for example, it has been predicted that record-breaking heat waves, such as the one experienced in 2003, will become more frequent (7). At the same time, even as summers become drier, the incidence of severe precipitation events could increase (2). Freshwater resources are among the ecological systems that are particularly vulnerable to climate change (3). That many ecological systems rely on groundwater resources, only changes in hydrological regimes and water quality will have a strong environmental impact.
机译：为了了解气候变化如何影响地下水资源并制定可持续的管理计划，对岩溶系统进行建模可以提供很多见识。水是人类最宝贵的自然资源之一，对人类和所有其他种类的生命至关重要。水量和水质的变化被认为具有强烈的环境和社会经济后果。据报道，由于所谓的“温室效应”导致的全球变暖导致了降水模式和蒸散量的变化。例如，在欧洲，据预测，打破纪录的热浪（如2003年的热浪）将变得更加频繁（7）。同时，即使夏天变得干燥，严重降水事件的发生率也可能增加（2）。淡水资源属于特别易受气候变化影响的生态系统（3）。许多生态系统依赖于地下水资源，只有水文状况和水质的变化才会对环境产生强烈影响。

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