High energy costs push up US inflation

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High energy costs push up US inflation

机译：高昂的能源成本推高了美国的通货膨胀

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High and volatile oil prices are a major risk to the world economy. This was the warning given by the Commonwealth of Australia's treasurer at a meeting of the G20 in Beijing this week. Peter Costello told the meeting that with the emergence of new global economic powers, demands for energy and resources are going to increase. In response, Finance Minister Jin Renqing of China said the biggest of the rising economies has suffered only to a limited extent from high oil prices. But in the US, the price of oil is still comparatively high as another possible hurricane gathers strength as Fairplay goes to press. But inflation figures across the US economy rose significantly as consumer prices shot up an unexpectedly large 1.2% last month, on the back of these high energy costs.

机译：高昂的石油价格是世界经济的主要风险。这是澳大利亚财长在本周在北京举行的20国集团会议上发出的警告。彼得·科斯特洛在会议上说，随着新的全球经济大国的出现，对能源和资源的需求将会增加。作为回应，中国财政部长金人庆表示，最大的新兴经济体仅在有限的程度上受到高油价的影响。但是在美国，由于Fairplay即将发行，另一场可能的飓风席卷而来，石油价格仍然相对较高。但是，由于这些高昂的能源成本，上个月消费者价格飙升了1.2％，出乎意料的是，整个美国经济的通货膨胀率大幅上升。

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《Fairplay International Shipping Weekly》 |2005年第6350期|p.52-53|共2页
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6. The impact of relative energy prices on industrial energy consumption in China: a consideration of inflation costs [O] . Lingyun He, Zhihua Ding, Fang Yin, -1

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7. We analyze, in this paper, a DSGE New Keynesian model with indi- visible labor where firms may belong to two different final goods producing sectors one where wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets and the orther where wages and employment are the result of a contractual process between unions and firms. Bargaining between firms and monopoly unions implies real wage rigidity in the model and, in turn, an endogenous trade-off between output stabilization and infla- tion stabilization. We show that the negative effect of a productivity shock on inflation and the positive effect of a cost-push shock is crucially determined by the proportion of firms that belong to the competitive sec- tor. The larger is this number, the smaller are these effects. We derive a welfare based objective function as a second order Taylor approxima- tion of the expected utility of the economy's representative agent and we analyze optimal monetary policy. We show that the larger is the num- ber of firms that belong to the competitive sector, the smaller should be the response of the nominal interest rate to exogenous productivity and cost-push shocks. If we consider, however, an instrument rule where the interest rate must react to inflationary expectations, the rule is not af- fected by the structure of the labor market. The results of the model are consistent with a well known empirical regularity in macroeconomics, i.e. that employment volatility is larger than real wage volatility. [O] . Lorenza Rossi, Fabrizio Mattesini 100

机译：在本文中，我们分析了DsGE新凯恩斯主义模型，该模型具有明显的劳动力，其中企业可能属于两个不同的最终产品生产部门，其中工资和就业是在竞争性劳动力市场中确定的，而工资和就业是由工资和就业导致的。工会和公司之间的合同过程。企业和垄断联盟之间的讨价还价意味着模型中的实际工资刚性，反过来，产出稳定和通货膨胀稳定之间的内生权衡。我们表明，生产率冲击对通货膨胀的负面影响以及成本推动冲击的积极影响，主要取决于属于竞争部门的企业比例。这个数字越大，这些效果越小。我们得出一个基于福利的目标函数作为经济代理人的预期效用的二阶泰勒近似，我们分析最优货币政策。我们表明，属于竞争性行业的企业数量越大，名义利率对外生生产率和成本推动冲击的反应就越小。但是，如果我们考虑利率必须对通胀预期作出反应的工具规则，则该规则不受劳动力市场结构的影响。该模型的结果与宏观经济学中众所周知的经验规律一致，即就业波动率大于实际工资波动率。

High energy costs push up US inflation

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