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The denial of limits and interior aspects of descent

机译:对血统的限制和内部方面的否认

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Purpose - The purposes of this paper are as follows. Part one examines the role of denialism in the context of proposals advanced through the much-abused Limits to Growth (LtG) project. Part two uses three sets of criteria (domains of reality, worldviews and values) to characterise some of the interior human and social aspects of the "denial machine." It uses these criteria to address some vital, but currently under-appreciated "interior" aspects of descent. (N.B. A succinct "primer" or overview of the concept an underpinning rationale for notions of "descent pathways" is provided in the introduction to this special issue.) Design/methodology/approach - The paper draws on a number of authoritative sources that track the dimensions of global change and, specifically, the ways that humanity is tracking towards Dystopian overshoot-and-collapse futures. The significance of the LtG project is assessed in this context. Part two employs the criteria noted above to identify and open out the centrality of the human and cultural interiors. Findings - Responses to the LtG project are shown to have deprived humanity of the clarity and will to respond effectively to the emerging global emergency. The rise of climate change denialism has followed suit and made effective responses increasingly difficult. A new focus, however, on some of the dynamics of reality domains, worldviews and values, clarifies both the nature of the problem and prefigures a range of solutions, some of which are briefly outlined. Research limitations/implications - This is primarily a conceptual paper that suggests a range of practical responses. For example, re-purposing parts of the current information technology (IT) infrastructure away from financial and economic indices to those tracking the health of the planet. Also translating the case put forward here for a new generation of Institutions of Foresight (loFs) into real-world start-ups and examples. Further research is needed into the uses and limitation, both of positive and negative views of futures. It is suggested that the latter have more value than is commonly realised. Practical implications - In addition to those stated above, the practical implications include new uses for IT infrastructure based on worldcentric - rather than financial and economic worldviews; designing and implementing a new generation of loFs; and finding new ways to inform the public of impending Dystopian outcomes without exacerbating avoidance and depression. Social implications - The social implications are profound. Currently, humanity has allowed itself to "tune out" and ignore many of the well-founded "signals" (from the global system) and warnings (from those who have observed and tracked real-world changes). As a result, it has outgrown the capacity of the planet to support the current population, let alone the 10 billion currently projected by the United Nations (UN). Something must give. Applied foresight can provide essential lead time to act before human actions are overwhelmed by forces beyond its control. Originality/value - The paper draws together material from hitherto disparate sources to assess the LtG project. It also deploys key concepts from an integral perspective that shed new light on human and cultural forces that determine how people respond to the prospect of Dystopian futures. In so doing, it provides insight into why we are where we are and also into some of the means by which humanity can respond. Specifically, it suggests a shift from collapse narratives to those of descent.
机译:目的-本文的目的如下。第一部分探讨了否定主义在通过广为滥用的增长限制(LtG)项目提出的提案的背景下的作用。第二部分使用三组标准(现实领域,世界观和价值观)来描述“拒绝机器”的一些内部人类和社会方面。它使用这些标准来解决血统的某些重要但目前未得到充分认识的“内部”方面。 (注意:在本期特刊的引言中提供了简洁的“入门”或概念概述,为“下降途径”的概念提供了基本原理。)设计/方法/方法-本文引用了许多权威文献来追踪全球变化的维度,尤其是人类向反乌托邦超调和崩溃期货的追踪方式。在这种情况下评估了LtG项目的重要性。第二部分采用上面提到的标准来识别和公开人类和文化内部的中心地位。调查结果-对LtG项目的回应已显示出人类缺乏明确性,并将有效应对正在出现的全球紧急情况。气候变化否认主义的兴起也随之而来,使有效的应对措施变得越来越困难。然而,对现实领域,世界观和价值观的某些动态的新关注,既阐明了问题的本质,又提出了一系列解决方案,其中简要概述了其中的一些解决方案。研究局限性/含义-这主要是一份概念性论文,提出了一系列实际对策。例如,将现有信息技术(IT)基础结构的一部分从财务和经济指标重新定位为跟踪地球健康的指标。还将此处提出的针对新一代远见机构(loF)的案例转化为现实中的初创企业和示例。需要对期货的正面和负面观点的用途和局限性进行进一步研究。建议后者具有比通常实现的更多的价值。实际含义-除了上述内容外,实际含义还包括基于世界中心的IT基础结构的新用途-而不是金融和经济方面的世界观;设计和实施新一代的loF;并寻找新的方法,在不加剧逃避和沮丧情绪的情况下向公众通报即将发生的反乌托邦结果。社会影响-社会影响深远。当前,人类已经允许自己“调离”并忽略许多有根据的“信号”(来自全球系统)和警告(来自观察和跟踪现实世界变化的人)。结果,它已经超过了地球支持当前人口的能力,更不用说联合国目前计划的100亿人口了。必须给的东西。远见卓识可以为行动提供不可或缺的前置时间,从而使人类的行动无法控制。原创性/价值-本文将迄今为止不同来源的材料汇总在一起,以评估LtG项目。它还从一个完整的角度部署了关键概念,从而为人类和文化力量提供了新的视角,这些力量决定了人们如何对反乌托邦未来的前景做出反应。这样,它可以洞察我们为什么会成为我们现在所在的位置以及人类可以做出反应的某些方式。具体而言,它暗示了从崩溃叙事到血统叙事的转变。

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