Erratum to 'Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold'[Global and Planetary Change 72 (2010) 55-68]

Jan Kyselye; Jan Picek; Romana Beranova

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Erratum to 'Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold'[Global and Planetary Change 72 (2010) 55-68]

机译：勘误至“使用具有非平稳阈值的峰值阈值方法估算气候变化模拟的极端值” [全球与行星变化72（2010）55-68]

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We have identified an error in the code used to implement the proposed methodology. Particularly, results of the likelihood ratio tests reported in Table 5 were incorrect. For comparison of model 2 against model 1 we used thresholds estimated by the usual 95% quantiles instead of the 95% regression quantiles in case of model 1. Table 5 is reprinted below with corrected results. Model 2 is supported in a smaller percentage of gridpoints than reported originally, so it should be chosen only in gridpoints in which it is supported.

机译：我们发现用于实施建议的方法的代码中存在错误。特别是，表5中报告的似然比测试结果不正确。为了将模型2与模型1进行比较，我们使用了通常的95％分位数而不是模型1情况下的95％回归分位数估算的阈值。表5下方重印了校正结果。支持模型2的网格点比例低于原始报告的比例，因此应仅在支持模型2的网格点中选择它。

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《Global and planetary change》 |2012年第5期|p.98|共1页
作者
Jan Kyselye; Jan Picek; Romana Beranova;
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Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR, Prague, Czech Republic;

Technical University, liberec, Czech Republic;

Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR, Prague, Czech Republic;

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1. Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold [J] . Jan Kysely, Jan Picek, Romana Beranova Global and planetary change . 2010,第1a2期

机译：使用具有非平稳阈值的峰值阈值方法估算气候变化模拟的极端值
2. Global and Regional Projected Changes in 100-yr Subdaily, Daily, and Multiday Precipitation Extremes Estimated from Three Large Ensembles of Climate Simulations [J] . Journal of Climate . 2020,第3期

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3. Bootstrap simulations for evaluating the uncertainty associated with peaks-over-threshold estimates of extreme wind velocity [J] . M. D. Pandey, P. H. A. J. M. Van Gelder, J. K. Vrijling Environmetrics . 2003,第1期

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4. Estimating uncertainties in globaEstimating global and North American regional climate change projections using a multi-thousand member climate model ensemble: Evaluation of the control simulations [C] . Derek Rosendahl, David Karoly AMS annual meeting . 2011

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5. A Comprehensive Framework for Projecting Regional Climate Change Impacts and Analyzing Non-stationary Statistics of Hydrologic Extremes over the Midwest and Great Lakes Region [D] . Byun, Kyuhyun . 2019

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7. The oceans mediate the response of global climate to natural and anthropogenic forcings. Yet for the past 2,000 years — a key interval for understanding the present and future climate response to these forcings — global sea surface temperature changes and the underlying driving mechanisms are poorly constrained. Here we present a global synthesis of sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality control criteria. We observe a cooling trend from 1 to 1800 ce that is robust against explicit tests for potential biases in the reconstructions. Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings. Climate simulations using single and cumulative forcings suggest that the ocean surface cooling trend from 801 to 1800 ce is not primarily a response to orbital forcing but arises from a high frequency of explosive volcanism. Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a centennial and global scale cooling trend via a decline in mixed-layer oceanic heat content. [O] . McGregor, Helen V., Evans, Michael N., Goosse, Hugues, 2015

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8. Climate Change, Extreme Events, and Hurricane Sandy: From Non-Stationary Climate to Non-stationary Policy. [R] . Solecki, W., Rosenzweig, C. 2014

机译：气候变化，极端事件和飓风桑迪：从非固定气候到非平稳政策。

Erratum to 'Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold'[Global and Planetary Change 72 (2010) 55-68]

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