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Creating a climate change risk assessment procedure:Hydropower plant case, Finland

机译：建立气候变化风险评估程序：芬兰水电厂

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This paper examines the risk assessment procedure for a Nordic hydropower production process while taking climate change into account. It is evident that climate change poses new risks and concerns for hydropower companies, especially with regards to the high uncertainty that results from the ignorance of relationships between climate change and hydropower production (descriptive uncertainty). However, climate change may also provide opportunities. This paper focuses on the development of a risk assessment procedure to support the risk identification process as a means of reducing the descriptive uncertainty. The intention of the study was to develop and test a procedure in which climate scenarios and traditional technical risk assessment have been integrated. This allows us to obtain a practical method as well as associated support tools for identifying and evaluating climate change-related risks and opportunities for hydropower plants. This new procedure is intended to help hydropower plants plan their future investments and strategies by identifying and prioritizing the risks caused and opportunities created by climate change. The study was conducted as a part of the Nordic Energy Research funded Climate and Energy Systems (CES) project and was coordinated by VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland.
机译：本文研究了北欧水电生产过程的风险评估程序，同时考虑了气候变化。显然，气候变化给水电公司带来了新的风险和担忧，尤其是在由于气候变化与水力发电之间的关系的无知而导致的高度不确定性（描述性不确定性）方面。但是，气候变化也可能提供机会。本文着重于开发一种风险评估程序，以支持风险识别过程，以减少描述性不确定性。该研究的目的是开发和测试将气候情景和传统技术风险评估相结合的程序。这使我们能够获得一种实用的方法以及相关的支持工具，以识别和评估与水变化有关的风险和水力发电厂的机会。这项新程序旨在通过确定和优先考虑由气候变化引起的风险和创造的机会，帮助水电厂规划其未来的投资和战略。这项研究是北欧能源研究资助的气候与能源系统（CES）项目的一部分，由芬兰VTT技术研究中心负责协调。

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