The Science of Predicting Nobel Prize Winners

Barbara Brynko

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The Science of Predicting Nobel Prize Winners

机译：诺贝尔奖获得者的预测科学

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Every year at summer's end, David Pendlebury is busy placing bets on some likely winners. No, Pendlebury isn't hedging bets on the stock market or the ponies. As the citation analyst in research services at Thomson Reuters, he is poring over backgrounders for contenders in the next round of Nobel Prizes.rnPendlebury, on behalf of Thomson Reuters, has been releasing his predictions for Nobel Prize winners in Physiology or Medicine, Chemistry, Physics, and Economics as part of the Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates for the past 8 years. Thomson Reuters is the only organization using quantitative data to predict Nobel Prize winners, and 19 citation laureates have gone on to win Nobel Prizes since the first results were released in 2002.

机译：每年夏季末，大卫·彭德伯里（David Pendlebury）都在押注一些可能的获胜者。不，彭德伯里不对冲股市或小马的赌注。作为汤森路透研究服务的引证分析师，他正在为下一轮诺贝尔奖寻找竞争者的背景资料。彭德伯里（Bendlebury）代表汤森路透发布了他对诺贝尔生理学或医学，化学，在过去的8年中，物理和经济学成为汤森路透（Thomson Reuters）的获奖者。汤森路透是唯一使用定量数据预测诺贝尔奖获得者的组织，自2002年发布第一项结果以来，已有19位获奖者获得了诺贝尔奖。

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《Information today》 |2010年第10期|p.43|共1页
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Barbara Brynko;
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1. Why it has become more difficult to predict Nobel Prize winners: a bibliometric analysis of nominees and winners of the chemistry and physics prizes (1901–2007) [J] . Yves Gingras, Matthew L. Wallace Scientometrics . 2010,第2期

机译：为什么难以预测诺贝尔奖得主：对化学和物理奖得主和获奖者的文献计量分析（1901-2007年）
2. The Mutation of the “Nobel Prize in Chemistry” into the “Nobel Prize in Chemistry or Life Sciences”: Several Decades of Transparent and Opaque Evidence of Change within the Nobel Prize Program [J] . Seeman Jeffrey I., Restrepo Guillermo Angewandte Chemie . 2020,第8期

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3. Johannes Diderik van der Waals: A Pioneer in the Molecular Sciences and Nobel Prize Winner in 1910† [J] . Prof.#x2005, Dr. Kwong-Tin Tang, Prof.#x2005, Angewandte Chemie International Edition . 2010,第50期

机译：Johannes Diderik van der Waals：分子科学先驱和1910年诺贝尔奖获得者†
4. Wroclaw (Breslau) Nobel Prize winners [C] . Plinski E.F. Transparent Optical Networks, 2004. Proceedings of 2004 6th International Conference on . 2004

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6. Professor Barry V.L. Potter: Winner of the 2018 Tu Youyou Award in Honor of the Co-Recipient of the 2015 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine for Her Discoveries Concerning a Novel Therapy against Malaria [O] . Derek J. McPhee 2018

机译：Barry V.L.教授波特：因发现有关疟疾的新疗法而获得2015年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖的共同获奖者2018年屠尤优奖
7. Why it has become more difficult to predict Nobel Prize winners: a bibliometric analysis of Nominees and Winners of the Chemistry and Physics Prizes (1901-2007) [O] . Yves Gingras, Matthew L. Wallace 2015

机译：为什么预测诺贝尔奖获得者变得更加困难：对被提名人和化学和物理奖获得者的文献计量分析（1901-2007）

The Science of Predicting Nobel Prize Winners

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