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Nonlinear Mean Reversion across National Stock Markets: Evidence from Emerging Asian Markets

机译:全国股票市场的非线性均值回归:来自新兴亚洲市场的证据

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This paper seeks empirical evidence of nonlinear mean-reversion in relative national stock price indices for Emerging Asian countries. It is well known that conventional linear unit root tests suffer from low power against the stationary nonlinear alternative. Implementing the nonlinear unit root tests proposed by Kapetanios et al. (2003) and Cerrato et al. (2009) for the relative stock prices of Emerging Asian markets, we find strong evidence of nonlinear mean reversion, whereas linear tests fail to reject the unit root null for most cases. We also report some evidence that stock markets in China and Taiwan are highly localized.
机译:本文寻求新兴亚洲国家相对股价指数中非线性均值回归的经验证据。众所周知,传统的线性单位根测试相对于固定的非线性替代品具有低功耗。实施Kapetanios等人提出的非线性单位根检验。 (2003)和Cerrato等。 (2009年)对于新兴亚洲市场的相对股票价格,我们发现了强大的非线性均值回归证据,而线性测试在大多数情况下都无法拒绝单位根无效。我们还报告了一些证据,表明中国和台湾的股票市场高度本地化。

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