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Atropos: towards a risk prediction model for software project management

机译:Atropos:朝着软件项目管理的风险预测模型

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摘要

Deep changes have been taking place in business, brought about by increasing technological advancement and a constant digital transformation. Risk event management has become strategic in project management, where uncertainties are inevitable. In this sense, the use of concepts of ubiquitous computing, such as contexts, context histories, and mobile computing can assist in proactive project management. This paper proposes a computational model to the reduction of the probability of project failure through the prediction of risks. The aim of the study is showing a model to assist teams to identify and monitor risks at different points in the life cycle of projects. This research was conducting a case study containing five projects in execution to evaluate the risk recommendations. For history, a database with 153 projects was used for a financial company. The recommendations were evaluated by a project team composed of 9 professionals, obtaining a result of 72% acceptance.
机译:通过提高技术进步和持续的数字转型,在业务中进行了深入的变化。风险事件管理已成为项目管理的战略,其中不确定性是不可避免的。从这个意义上讲,使用普遍存在计算的概念,例如上下文,上下文历史和移动计算可以帮助主动项目管理。本文提出了通过预测风险来减少项目失败概率的计算模型。该研究的目的是展示一个模型,以帮助团队识别和监测项目生命周期的不同点的风险。该研究正在进行案例研究,其中包含五个项目,以评估风险建议。对于历史,有一个带153个项目的数据库用于金融公司。这些建议由由9名专业人员组成的项目团队评估,获得72%的接受情况。

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