Agent-based modelling of energy infrastructure transitions

E.J.L. Chappin; G.P.J. Dijkema

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Agent-based modelling of energy infrastructure transitions

机译：基于主体的能源基础设施过渡建模

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Shaping energy transitions not only requires technical system innovation and redesign but also new policies, regulations, Research and Development (R&D) and investment strategies - a transition assemblage. Transition management thus equates to designing and implementing such an assemblage. Agent-Based Models (ABMs) may be used for ex-ante assessment of transition assemblage alternatives. To help determine whether the design of a particular model is fit for its purpose, we have developed a typology. Three models were assessed:rn1 a model on the impact of CO_2 policy on the power production sectorrn2 a model on the transition of the global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastructurern3 a model on the imminent transition caused by the arrival of Light-Emitting Diode (LED) lighting systems.rnAll three models can be used to compare transition assemblage alternatives and could be adapted to assess regulatory adaptability.

机译：塑造能源转型不仅需要技术系统创新和重新设计，还需要新的政策，法规，研发（R＆D）和投资策略-转型的集合。因此，过渡管理等同于设计和实现这样的组合。基于代理的模型（ABM）可用于事前评估过渡组合方案。为了帮助确定特定模型的设计是否适合其目的，我们开发了一种类型学。评估了以下三种模型：rn1有关CO_2政策对电力生产部门影响的模型rn2有关全球液化天然气（LNG）基础设施过渡的模型rn3有关发光二极管到来而即将过渡的模型（所有这三种模型都可以用来比较过渡组件的替代方案，并且可以用来评估法规的适应性。

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《International journal of critical infrastructure》 |2010年第2期|p.106-130|共25页
作者
E.J.L. Chappin; G.P.J. Dijkema;
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Faculty of Technology Policy and Management Delft University of Technology P.O. Box 5015 2600 GA, Delft, The Netherlands;

Faculty of Technology Policy and Management Delft University of Technology P.O. Box 5015 2600 GA, Delft, The Netherlands;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
agent-based model; ABM; energy infrastructures; energy modelling; transitions; transition management; power generation; carbon policies; LNG market; consumer lighting;

机译：基于主体的模型;反弹道导弹;能源基础设施;能量建模;过渡过渡管理;发电;碳政策;液化天然气市场;消费照明;

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Agent-based modelling of energy infrastructure transitions

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