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THE CLOSED-LOOP ECONOMY

机译:闭环经济

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摘要

The economy is modeled as an engineering pumping system. At the start, no control is used; thus, the open-loop system is established. Row, or analogously GDP, is sent from a pump to a storage tank (analogously, inventories). Control is then applied where investment (flow out of the tank) is controlled via the interest rate. Thus, the open loop becomes a closed loop. It is shown from simple example that frequent government interference in the economy causes more instability than less government interference. Dynamic systems tend toward steady-state systems and government interference should be very selective and careful. In this work, the interest rate is used to control the economy by the Federal Reserve, ceteris paribus. Simulations indicate that when the Fed attempts to control the economy using interest rates, the net effect is that economic equilibrium is delayed with respect to an economy that comes to equilibrium naturally.
机译:经济被建模为工程泵系统。开始时,不使用任何控件。这样就建立了开环系统。将行或类似的GDP从泵发送到储罐(类似地,库存)。然后通过利率控制投资(从储罐流出)的控制。因此,开环变成闭环。从简单的例子可以看出,政府对经济的频繁干预比不稳定的政府干预造成的不稳定更多。动态系统趋向于稳态系统,政府干预应非常有选择性和谨慎。在这项工作中,利率被美联储(ceteris paribus)用来控制经济。模拟表明,当美联储试图使用利率控制经济时,最终结果是,相对于自然地达到均衡的经济,经济均衡被延迟了。

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