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Sustainable development and adjustment of low carbon industrial investment in dual heritage areas using SD-FREVM: a case study in China

机译:SD-FREVM在双重遗产地区的可持续发展和低碳产业投资的调整:中国的案例研究

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摘要

This paper targets the adjustment of industrial investment for low carbon development area through integrating system dynamics and a fuzzy random expected value model. Following that, Leshan, one of the World Natural and Cultural Heritage areas in Western China, is selected as a case to reach the aim of reducing carbon intensity. After the simulation results are analysed, it is concluded that by adjusting industrial investment including environmental investment, the area could decrease its carbon intensity from 0.51 in 2005 to 0.38 in 2015 with normal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. Finally, some recommendations are given for dual heritage areas based on the model's results.
机译:通过整合系统动力学和模糊随机期望值模型,对低碳开发区的产业投资进行调整。此后,选择乐山作为中国西部的世界自然与文化遗产地区之一,以达到降低碳强度的目的。对模拟结果进行分析后得出的结论是,通过调整包括环境投资在内的工业投资,该地区的碳强度可以从2005年的0.51降低到2015年的0.38,且国内生产总值(GDP)保持正常增长。最后,根据模型结果为双重遗产地区提供了一些建议。

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