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首页> 外文期刊>International journal of monetary economics and finance >New Keynesian aggregate supply in the tropics: food prices, wages and inflation
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New Keynesian aggregate supply in the tropics: food prices, wages and inflation

机译:热带地区新凯恩斯主义的总供给:食品价格,工资和通货膨胀

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摘要

Since consumer prices are a weighted average of domestic and imported goods prices, domestic Price Inflation (WPII) should cause Consumer Price Inflation (CPU). But at low per capita incomes average wages respond to food prices, raising costs and hence domestic prices. Then CPU, for which food is the dominant component, should Granger cause WPII. This reverse causality is derived and finds support in an estimated new Keynesian Aggregate Supply (AS) framework with the wage-price link. The AS and the identity both hold as long-run cointegrating relationships. The AS is elastic but food prices and the exchange rate are important for inflation.
机译:由于消费价格是国内和进口商品价格的加权平均值,因此国内价格通货膨胀(WPII)应该导致消费者价格通货膨胀(CPU)。但是,在人均收入较低的情况下,平均工资会对食品价格产生反应,从而增加成本,进而提高国内价格。然后,以食品为主要成分的CPU应该由Granger引起WPII。这种反向因果关系得到了推导,并在带有工资价格关系的估计新凯恩斯主义总供给(AS)框架中找到了支持。 AS和身份都保持着长期的协整关系。 AS具有弹性,但食品价格和汇率对于通胀很重要。

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